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China’s domestic bromine market has been operating steadily this week (8.12-8.16)

Price data:

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the domestic bromine market has been running steadily this week. The average price of bromine has remained around 29785 yuan per ton in the week, up 4.17% from the same period last year.

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II. Cause Analysis

Products: This week, the domestic bromine market was affected by the previous environmental protection and continuous rainfall, the overall inventory has been reduced to a low level, some parking enterprises have just resumed, there is a certain shortage of supply in the industry; the current downstream market is in the off-season, the demand for bromine is not good, mainly purchasing just needed. At present, the mainstream quotation of enterprises is about 29500-30000 yuan/ton, and some of the real orders are on the low side.

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Industry chain: bromine upstream industry is stable and soft this week: the demand for sulphur market is sluggish, with a drop of 2.47 per week, currently around 790 yuan/ton; the caustic soda market is gradually restoring, the downstream demand is not good, the downstream demand is stable within the week, currently around 705 yuan/ton; the soda market is stable, with an average price of about 1676 yuan/ton; and the supply and demand of sulphuric acid market is about 1676 yuan/ton. There is a steady increase in demand, but the downstream demand is flat, falling by 3.33% in a week, currently about 227 yuan per ton. At present, the downstream flame retardant industry of bromine is in poor demand, the market as a whole is light, the price of bromine is insufficient to support, and the industry of pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediates is affected by environmental protection, resulting in low overall start-up and limited demand.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business bromine industry analysts believe that there is a certain gap in the domestic bromine market supply side at present. Enterprises have low Multi-inventory and start work gradually after the end of the continuous rainstorm; the upstream market is mostly soft, which has no good support for bromine prices. The downstream market is in the off-season, just in need, and low-price imported bromine is good for the domestic market. The field has some negative influence. It is expected that domestic bromine prices will be stable in the near future.

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China’s domestic acetone market continued to be weak this week (8.12-16)

Price Trend

This week, the acetone market as a whole went up, with a narrow range of fluctuations, and the Yanshan market went up significantly. According to the monitoring of commodity data of business associations, manufacturers in eastern China offered 3725 yuan/ton at the beginning of this week and 3800 yuan/ton at the end of the weekend, which was 2.01% overall.

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II. Analytical Review

Products: At the beginning of the week, when the stocks of the port are relatively low and the stocks of the petrochemical enterprises are on the low side, some manufacturers limit the amount of invoices. On Tuesday, the petrochemical enterprises will increase 100 yuan/ton. The mentality of the intermediate traders will be boosted. The secondary traders will have active stocks and concentrate on replenishment. At present, the main negotiation range of East China market is 3750 yuan/ton; Yanshan peripheral market is around 3800 yuan/ton; and South China market is around 3800 yuan/ton.

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Industry Chain: On the supply side, this week Sinopec’s listed price of pure benzene was stable at 5100 yuan/ton, the price of propylene in East China was lowered to 7550 yuan/ton, and the cost of phenol and ketone was 10,000 yuan/ton; this week, the overall starting rate of domestic manufacturers was 80%, and the port stock was relatively stable. In terms of demand, only 60% of the MMA units are in operation and less than 60% of the isopropanol units are in operation. This week, although the acetone market quotation has risen sharply, most downstream factories digest inventory, despite the boost of the factory increase, market follow-up is limited.

3. Future Market Forecast

Advantages: Bisphenol A plant starts at a high level, and the demand for raw materials is good; overall, the import cost is higher, which has certain support for the domestic market. Likon: The downstream parking of isopropanol and MMA plants has increased, and there will be less demand for raw materials. Business associations are expected to consolidate the acetone market next week. At present, importers of import sources have little intention of delivering at low prices. The prices of manufacturers are still supported. They will be stable next week. The overall small orders follow up. The main negotiation range in East China market is 3750-3800 yuan/ton.

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PA66 was weakly stable (8.12-8.15)

Price Trend

According to the data of business associations, PA66 market showed a weak and stable trend in the third week of August, and the quotation was temporarily stable. As of August 15, the average price of viscous injection grade mainstream offer in PA66 was about 24750.00 yuan/ton, which was 0.60% lower than that at the beginning of the month.

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Analysis of influencing factors:

Products: PA66 upstream adipic acid market performance this week rose and fell powerless, the market atmosphere slightly cold, distributors actively shipped mainly, the market maintained a weak shock pattern. At present, downstream demand has not changed much, downstream start-up rate is still slightly inadequate. The start-up rate is basically around 50%, which does not give a strong boost to the upstream adipic acid, because the rebound of the previous market basically relies on the upstream pure benzol, driven by the cost effect, which belongs to passive follow-up. At present, the cost surface profit is excessive. The market gradually returns to rationality, and the market also enters the de-inventory cycle. Deals are slightly deadlocked, and there is room for retailers to concede profits. Social inventory is still showing some pressure, and shipment strength has slightly declined. Adipic acid supply and demand are basically in a balanced pattern, and it is expected that the market will continue to maintain a narrow adjustment pattern in the short term; this week, the PA66 market continued to weaken adjustment. The news of US tariff postponement was positive, the terminal market warmed up slightly, and the overall impact on PA66 market was limited. Under the background of imbalance between supply and demand, the transaction is still flat, the transaction is difficult, and the single-offer negotiation is the main way.

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Demand side: At present domestic PA66 chip spot supply is more abundant, downstream factories just need to take goods, demand continues to be weak. Market buy gas is insufficient, business people have a heavy wait-and-see mentality, and most of the transactions are detailed and factual.

Future forecast:

Business analysts believe that the recent domestic PA66 market trend is stable and weak. This week, trade frictions between China and the United States slowed down and signalled that the positive news had little impact on PA66 prices. This week’s offer for PA66 declined slightly against the background of poor support from adipic acid cost and insufficient long-term demand downstream. It is expected that the PA66 disk will continue to be weak in the near future.

Sulfamic acid 

Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices in China continued to decline this week (8.5-8.9)

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid price trend continued to decline this week, the price at the end of the weekend was 11,430 yuan/ton, down 1.38% from 11,590 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and up 5.18% from the same period last year.

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Products: Hydrofluoric acid prices continued to decline this week, the recent market situation of manufacturers has not improved significantly, the downstream refrigerant industry is still operating at a low level, the domestic market demand for hydrofluoric acid is limited, coupled with the domestic hydrofluoric acid plant to maintain a high operating rate, domestic spot supply is sufficient, some manufacturers downgraded. As of the end of the weekend, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is 10500-11500 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11000-11500 yuan/ton. Recently, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid has been slightly lower, the demand of refrigerant industry downstream is poor, the supply of hydrofluoric acid manufacturers is not good, and the market price trend is declining. By the end of the weekend, the mainstream of domestic negotiations on hydrofluoric acid in Fujian was around 10 500-11 000 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Shandong was 11 000-11 500 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Jiangxi was 11 000-11 500 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Inner Mongolia was 10 500-11 000 yuan/ton, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market continued to decline.

Industry chain: The price of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid slightly decreased this week. The factory price of fluorite was 3106.25 yuan/ton by the end of the week. The fluorite price dropped 0.20% this week. The domestic fluorite supply is normal, but the price of fluorite has a downward trend. The downstream cost price has a negative impact on the hydrofluoric acid market. Recent downstream refrigerant product units started at a low level, the demand for upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid is not good, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is poor, the price of hydrofluoric acid products slightly lower. Recent downstream refrigerant market trading market is general, domestic refrigerant R22 market shocks down, from the market supply point of view, the production enterprise device is stable, but the pressure of goods is too high, inventory expansion appears to a certain extent, the enterprise aims to make profits to deliver goods. The downstream weakness continues, the peak season of refrigerants has passed, and demand has only decreased but not increased. The price of domestic large enterprises has maintained the level of 17,000-18,000 yuan/ton. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much, and the upstream market demand for hydrofluoric acid does not change much. Aluminum fluoride price trend of downstream products is temporarily stable in the near future, which is 10 333.33 yuan per ton at the weekend. The price trend is temporarily stable. Recently, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is declining due to the poor market.

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Industry: This week, the spot supply of raw materials fluorite and hydrofluoric acid in the upstream market is normal, and the trading market of refrigerant industry in the downstream is poor. The price trend of hydrofluoric acid market continues to decline.

Recent domestic refrigerant plant start-up rate has maintained a low level, the market demand for hydrofluoric acid has decreased, the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is normal, and the raw material market price has a downward trend. Chen Ling, an analyst of hydrofluoric acid business association, believes that the market price of hydrofluoric acid will be slightly lower next week, and the price of hydrofluoric acid will be around 11,000 yuan/ton.

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Cyclohexanone market weak operation (8.5-8.9)

Price Trend

This week, domestic cyclohexanone market is weak. According to the monitoring data of business associations, the average price of domestic cyclohexanone producers was 8233 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week, 8066 yuan/ton at the end of the week, with a decline of 2.02% and a rise of 1.26% annually, down 35.47% compared with the same period last year.

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II. Market Analysis

Product: Cyclohexanone market fell weakly this week. Sinopec’s pure benzene listing was lowered by 150 yuan/ton to 5100 yuan/ton, and the cost support was insufficient. The downstream caprolactam market is stable and weak, and the enthusiasm for entering the market is general. Some plant units may be unstable to start up, the procurement volume is still acceptable, the solvent market demand is not good, and most of them just need to be purchased. Luxi spot has not yet been exported in the week, due to weak market demand, high price of caprolactam against cyclohexanone, lack of confidence in the future market of cyclohexanone factory, lower external quotation, price, mainstream delivery price of cyclohexanone factory in 7800-7900 yuan/ton, remittance factory, 200-300 yuan/ton lower than last week.

Industry chain: raw materials, pure benzene, pure benzene market continued to weaken this week, commodities overall fell, pure benzene pressure weakened. The sharp drop in crude oil also led to the weakening of the outer plate of pure benzene. As a result, the price of pure benzene has been declining since the beginning of the week. Downstream users wait for Sinopec to cut prices, wait and see, market turnover is weak. At the beginning of the week, there were still sporadic transactions of 5000 yuan/ton, but then driven by the low-price supply in Shandong Province, the market buying gravity dropped to 4900-4950 yuan/ton.

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Caprolactam: This week, the domestic caprolactam liquid market is narrowing. At present, the market trend of caprolactam is rigid, the upstream pure benzene and cyclohexanone markets are falling, and the downstream PA6 slice Market is also falling. However, due to the overhaul of Yongrong 200,000 tons plant and the upcoming overhaul of Yang coal 200,000 tons plant, the spot supply of caprolactam is reduced. In addition, the listed price of Sinopec is still firm, and the price reduction of caprolactam plant is slow. 。 However, the downstream PA6 chip market continued to decline, the loss of polymerization links, dragging down the market atmosphere of caprolactam, slowing down on-site transactions, and reducing procurement of polymerization plants.
3. Future Market Forecast

The short-term spot supply of cyclohexanone fluctuates little, Hengyi’s external demand is likely to decrease, and the cost support is insufficient. Cyclohexanone analysts at business associations expect a narrow downward trend in the short term; in the long run, it is difficult to see a substantial upward trend.

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