Good support is insufficient, and the light rare earth market is declining sharply

Recently, the price of light rare earth in China has fallen sharply. The price trend of some rare earth products is shown as follows:

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Since late June, the domestic market price of light rare earth has fallen sharply. The price of neodymium oxide has dropped from 380000 yuan/ton to 304500 yuan/ton, with an overall decline of 19.87%. The price of neodymium oxide has dropped sharply from 377500 yuan/ton to 302 500 yuan/ton, with a drop of 19.8%. The price of neodymium metal has dropped by 16.84% from 484000 yuan/ton to 402500 yuan./ The price of Praseodymium and Neodymium alloy dropped from 484,000 yuan/ton to 402,500 yuan/ton, a drop of 16.84%. Recently, the domestic heavy rare earth price is relatively strong, but the market price of light rare earth has fallen sharply. Recently, the domestic magnetic material enterprises have entered the off-season of demand. In the short term, the demand for light rare earth has not improved. Influenced by the low price selling of some manufacturers, the market price of light rare earth has fallen continuously, but the market of heavy rare earth is affected by supply and demand. Prices are stronger.

According to monitoring, the rare earth index on July 22 was 377 points, which was the same as yesterday. It was 62.30% lower than the cyclical peak of 1000 points (2011-12-06), and 39.11% higher than the lowest point of 271 on September 13, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-12-01 to date).

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Recently, the price of light rare earth in rare earth field has declined, the price of heavy rare earth in rare earth market has been stable, the price of praseodymium and neodymium series products has been declining continuously, the supply of light rare earth is normal, the demand of light rare earth is not good in the near future, and the market price has declined. The price fluctuation of rare earth market is related to environmental protection supervision in the whole country. Rare earth production has its particularity, especially the radiation hazard of some products, which makes environmental protection supervision stricter. Under strict environmental protection inspection, manufacturers control sales reasonably, but recent downstream demand has entered the off-season, some enterprises sell at low prices, and the market price of light rare earth has been declining. However, the supply of heavy rare earth market is still tense. Recently, large enterprise groups on the market are reluctant to sell. The market of heavy rare earth is strong, but the major manufacturers are cautious about the pricing of products.

Recently, the State Environmental Protection Department has made no reduction in its stringent efforts, which has a greater impact on the rare earth industry. The rare earth industry has a low start-up and a cold market. At the recent press conference on macroeconomic operation held by the Development and Reform Commission, Meng Wei, spokesman of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), answering reporters’questions on rare earth, said that on the basis of in-depth investigation and scientific demonstration, relevant policies and measures would be put forward to give full play to the special value of rare earth as a strategic resource. Due to the increasingly obvious regulatory effect, the supply of raw ore resources in the upstream of the rare earth industry has shrunk, and the trading market of the rare earth industry is poor.

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Rare earth analysts of business associations expect that the domestic environmental protection will not be reduced in the near future. In addition, the domestic order of the rare earth industry will be rectified. Myanmar restricts exports and reduces supply. However, the demand for light rare earth market will not improve in the near future. It is expected that the price of light rare earth will continue to decline, and the price trend of medium and heavy rare earth market will continue to decline. Stronger.

The upstream and downstream are not good, the refrigerant R22 market is running at a low level (7.15-7.19)

Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the domestic R22 ex-factory price runs smoothly this week. The average ex-factory price of mainstream manufacturers is 18,000 yuan/ton, down 2.7% from the same period last year.

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II. Market Analysis

Products: According to the data of business associations, R22 refrigerant price is running at a low level. As of July 19, Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. has a price of 18,000 yuan/ton, Quzhou Jiuzhou Chemical Co., Ltd. has a price of 17,000 yuan/ton, Shandong Yue’an New Materials Co., Ltd. has a price of 19,000 yuan/ton, and Zhejiang Lengwang Science and Technology Co., Ltd. has a price of 18,000 yuan/ton. The price of Hunan Longxun Trading Co., Ltd. is 16500 yuan per ton.

Market analysis: This week, the domestic R22 refrigerant market has a poor trading environment and low prices. At present, the price quoted by manufacturers mostly concentrates on 16500-19000 yuan/ton. Refrigerant R22 peak season is coming to an end, traders are cautious, wait-and-see mentality is strong, and the mode of on-demand delivery is still continuing; together with stable start-up of production enterprises, and inventory pressure of shipments, the refrigerant market is further cooled. According to the price monitoring of business associations, the anhydrous hydrofluoric acid market of upstream products continues to rise. At present, the price is 12080 yuan/ton. The upstream raw materials have strong support for R22 market.

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3. Future Market Forecast

Business Cooperative Refrigerant Analysts believe that the traditional peak season of R22 is near the end, the peak season is weak, the market supply exceeds demand situation continues, and R22 prices are expected to decline steadily.

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Recent stable operation of n-propanol Market

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market of n-propanol has been running steadily in the near future with no obvious price fluctuation. As of July 18, the ex-factory quotation of the manufacturers of n-propanol in Jiangsu was 8400 yuan/ton (free water contains tax), and the mainstream quotation of domestic traders of n-propanol was around 1000-11500 yuan/ton (the price difference between different packaging specifications is large). The mainstream quotation for imported barreled n-propanol from Taiwan is around 1,1200-11,800 yuan/ton.

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II. Market Analysis

Products: In the past two weeks, the overall trend of the n-propanol market has been stable, the price has not changed much, and the overall demand is normal. The price of n-propanol produced by Nanjing Rongxin Chemical Industry is 8400 yuan/ton (bulk water contains tax), the price of n-propanol from Zibo, Shandong Fengcang Chemical Distribution is 11000 yuan/ton (including tax barrel), and Yexing, Zhangjiagang. Taiwan’s imported n-propanol for chemical operations is quoted at 10,200 yuan/ton (including tax barrels). Taiwan’s imported n-propanol for Shanghai Lianyi Chemical Sales is quoted at 11,800 yuan/ton (including tax barrels). Taiwan’s imported n-propanol for Shanghai Yifeng Chemical Sales is quoted at 11,000 yuan/ton (including tax barrels).

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Industry chain: Upstream product propylene oxide prices have risen in many enterprises, and the factory’s periodic shipment has improved.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to the business association’s forecast, the n-propanol market will remain stable in the short term.

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The price trend of domestic fluorite market in China was temporarily stable on July 17

On July 16, the fluorite commodity index was 110.53, unchanged from yesterday, down 13.30% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 124.61% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

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According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, up to 17 days the average domestic fluorite price is 3150 yuan/ton, the recent domestic fluorite plant start-up is normal, the mine and flotation plant start-up is normal, the supply of fluorite is slightly tight, the recent downstream hydrofluoric acid price rise, for the fluorite market on demand purchase, fluorite market price trend. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of the 17th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

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The price trend of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is temporarily stable. As of 17 days, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12080 yuan/ton. The fluctuation of the market price of hydrofluoric acid has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general. The demand for fluorite has weakened and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. Fluorite prices are stable temporarily. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may remain volatile.

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China’s Domestic Hydrofluoric Acid Market Tends to Stable on July 16

On July 15, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 109.62, unchanged from yesterday, down 21.94% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 104.55% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

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According to statistics, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable on July 16. Up to now, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was 12080 yuan/ton, and the domestic start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid was less than 60%. Enterprises reflected that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on the spot was tight at present. Recently, the situation of on-site goods had improved. Because of the high raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid factories were on the market. The market price of hydrofluoric acid is going up by adjusting the ex-factory price. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11500-12500 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is about 12000-12500 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand did not change very much, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market rose.

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Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the normal supply of goods, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, hydrofluoric acid spot supply is normal, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may continue to oscillate.

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