Recently (11.13-11.20), the domestic EVA market has been weak and declining. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of November 20th, the benchmark price of EVA in China was 10400 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.95% from 10500 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month. The demand for downstream photovoltaics and foam production is relatively weak; Domestic EVA equipment still maintains high supply pressure during start-up; In addition, the weak downward trend in the price of raw material vinyl acetate has led to an overall weakening of the EVA market.
Recently (11.13-11.20), EVA production has remained stable at around 8.5%, and there is still supply pressure in the EVA market. During the cycle, the price of raw material ethylene remained stable, while the price of vinyl acetate slightly decreased, and the cost faced weakened support from EVA. As of November 19th, the domestic price of ethylene in Sinopec East China was 6200 yuan/ton, which remained stable compared to the price on November 13th; As of November 19th, the market price of vinyl acetate in East China was 5650 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.74% from 5750 yuan/ton on November 13th.
Recently (11.13-11.20), there has been a lack of significant positive support for the demand in the EVA market. Downstream photovoltaic and foam terminal orders have been slow to follow up, and spot digestion has been slow. Some EVA manufacturers have continued to lower their ex factory prices, resulting in a weak downward trend in the EVA market.
Future forecast: Overall, the cost support for EVA will weaken, and the demand for downstream photovoltaic and foam industries will weaken. In addition, there are plans for new equipment to be put into production in the later stage of EVA, and the overall fundamentals of EVA are weak. It is expected that the weak consolidation of EVA spot market will be the main trend in the later stage.

This week, the trading center of the epichlorohydrin market shifted upward and maintained stable operation. According to the monitoring and analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of November 14th, the benchmark price of Shengyi Society’s epichlorohydrin was 11400 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.7% compared to the beginning of this month.
Price influencing factors:
Raw material side: This week, the price of raw material propylene is running strong. There is still support on the cost side, and the center of gravity of epichlorohydrin has shifted upward. According to the market analysis system of Shengyi Society, as of November 14th, the benchmark price of propylene in Shengyi Society was 5960.75 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.61% compared to the beginning of this month (6058.25 yuan/ton).
On the demand side, there is a concentrated replenishment phenomenon downstream, and the market trading atmosphere is relatively positive, with an overall improvement compared to the previous period. However, with the concentrated replenishment of downstream products, the market trading atmosphere has turned cold, and companies tend to sell at high prices. Downstream companies have begun to operate cautiously, with limited actual trading and a stabilizing trend in the market. It is expected that the epoxy chloropropane market price will mainly decline weakly in the later stage.
Market forecast: Business Society’s epoxy chloropropane analyst believes that there is still some support on the cost side of epoxy chloropropane, and coupled with a positive atmosphere of downstream centralized replenishment and trading, the market price of epoxy chloropropane will rise. After the downstream concentrated replenishment, the mentality of enterprises has turned cautious, and their confidence in the future has weakened. Market transactions are limited when they are high, and it is expected that the epoxy chloropropane market price will mainly decline weakly in the later stage. More attention still needs to be paid to changes in raw material prices and market supply and demand.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic PTA market showed a trend of first falling and then rising this week (November 10-14). As of November 14, the spot price of PTA in East China was 4671 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.55% from the beginning of the week.
In the international crude oil market, as of November 13th, the settlement price of the December WTI crude oil futures contract in the United States was $58.69 per barrel, and the settlement price of the January Brent crude oil futures contract was $63.01 per barrel. Further follow-up is needed to address the degree of oversupply in the crude oil market, which is the core factor driving the direction of oil prices. Currently, global inventories are accumulating further, and if there continues to be unexpected accumulation, the future of oil prices is expected to continue to shift downward in the tug of war.
In terms of PTA supply, the overall domestic production has slightly decreased, and the industry operating rate is around 76%. There is a maintenance plan for the facilities in East China next week, while other facilities will remain stable and production will slightly decrease.
The downstream polyester industry’s load has narrowly declined to 87%, even though the domestic polyester industry’s storage capacity has increased during the week. Therefore, the supply reduction of the polyester industry is greater than the increase. We mainly rely on essential procurement and lack sustained replenishment motivation, resulting in a return to daily light production and sales. Terminal weaving, with the cooling and digestion, the overall order has not yet shown actual repair performance, and there is a strong wait-and-see sentiment.
Business analysts believe that PTA supply will remain tight in the short term, while demand will remain stable. Terminal demand is starting to decline, procurement enthusiasm is hindered, and the focus of crude oil is shifting downwards. It is expected that PTA market prices will weaken.

According to the analysis of the Business Society’s market monitoring system, on November 13th, the reference market price for domestic silicon metal # 441 was 9730 yuan/ton. Compared with November 9th (reference market price for silicon metal 441 # was 9700 yuan/ton), the price has increased by 30 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.31%. On November 1st (the market price of silicon metal # 441 was 9680 yuan/ton), the price increased by 50 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.52%.
The metal silicon market has remained stable after a slight upward movement this week
From the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, it can be seen that this week (11.10-11.13), the domestic spot market for silicon metal mainly operated steadily after a small rise, with some brands experiencing slight price increases. The overall market changes were within normal fluctuations. As of November 13th, the market price reference for metal silicon oxygen 553 # in East China is 9400-9600 yuan/ton, non oxygen 553 # is 9300-9400 yuan/ton, 521 # is 9600-9700 yuan/ton, 441 # is 9600-9800 yuan/ton, 421 # is 9700-9800 yuan/ton, and 421 # (for organic silicon) is 9800-10200 yuan/ton.
Fundamental situation
In terms of supply and demand: Currently, the overall supply situation in the market has improved compared to the beginning of the month, and there is also a certain mentality of price support among industry players. However, downstream demand for silicon metal is generally cautious, with limited acceptance of high prices, and overall supply and demand transmission is average.
In terms of inventory: Currently, the overall inventory of the metal silicon market has increased, and some silicon companies in the south still have a certain amount of inventory accumulation after the shutdown of production. Northern silicon companies have a weak willingness to sell at a discount, therefore, the overall supply inventory of the market has increased to a certain extent.
Market analysis in the future
At present, the overall trading atmosphere in the metal silicon market is average, and downstream demand is cautious in procurement. Inquiries are mostly kept at the low end. The metal silicon data analyst of Business Society predicts that the metal silicon market will mainly adjust and operate in a narrow range in the short term, and specific changes in supply and demand news need to be closely monitored.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the market price of 85% concentrated formic acid in China has remained stable in recent times. As of November 10th, the benchmark price of formic acid Shengyi Society was 2830 yuan/ton, unchanged from last week.
Supply side: high stability, expected maintenance in the later stage
The formic acid supply side is operating at high load as a whole. The capacity utilization rate of production enterprises is almost saturated, maintaining full load production, overall supply capacity remains high, and market supply is sufficient. The main factories and manufacturers in Liaocheng area are planning to carry out equipment maintenance work soon. Although the current supply has not been affected, this maintenance plan may have a phased impact on the subsequent local supply, and continuous attention should be paid to the maintenance progress and actual impact scope.
Demand side: rigid dominance, stable shipment
The demand side is always dominated by rigid procurement. The procurement demand of downstream enterprises remains stable, with no significant fluctuations in shipment volume and stable inventory consumption. Despite the expectation of a subsequent period of concentrated procurement in the market, with demand possibly heating up in stages, as of November 10th, there has been no substantial increase in demand on the demand side and it is still operating steadily.
Export end: order contraction, export decline
The export market has performed poorly, with a continuous decrease in the number of newly signed orders compared to the previous period. The export volume has shown a downward trend, which has weakened its support for the overall market and become one of the factors affecting market sentiment.
According to the formic acid data analyst from Shengyi Society, the supply and demand pattern of the formic acid market will remain dynamically balanced in the short term, taking into account both the supply and demand sides and the performance of the export market. Despite the potential impact of maintenance by major factories in Liaocheng on the supply side, the overall supply is currently abundant, the demand side is rigid and stable, and the impact of export decline is relatively limited. Therefore, it is expected that the price of formic acid will continue to operate steadily in the short term.