Category Archives: Uncategorized

Cost support, with a 0.63% increase in the price of new pentanediol within the week

1、 Price trend

 

Upstream cost support has increased, downstream paint demand is average, and the domestic market price of neopentyl glycol has slightly increased this week. According to the Commodity Analysis System of Business Society, the average price of new pentanediol in the mainstream domestic market increased from 10600 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 10666.67 yuan/ton over the weekend, an increase of 0.63%, and the weekend price decreased by 1.84% year-on-year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

This week, new pentanediol enterprises started construction at a high level, and mainstream market prices slightly increased.

 

From the upstream raw material market of neopentyl glycol, the price of isobutyraldehyde in the domestic market has slightly increased this week. This week, the average price of isobutyraldehyde in the mainstream domestic market increased from 8900 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 9000 yuan/ton over the weekend, an increase of 1.12%. The weekend price increased by 23.85% year-on-year. The upstream isobutyraldehyde has a strong center of gravity, with a slight increase in market prices and good cost support. Due to the impact of supply and demand, it has a positive impact on the price of new pentanediol. From the perspective of downstream demand, the recovery of the downstream paint industry is slow, and demand remains weak. The enterprise has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, with a focus on essential procurement.

 

3、 Future prospects

 

In mid to late March, the trend of the new pentanediol market may fluctuate slightly and rise mainly. The upstream isobutyraldehyde market has slightly increased, with increased cost support. The downstream paint market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, with enterprises mainly focusing on procurement for immediate needs. Business Society’s new pentanediol analyst believes that in the short term, the market for new pentanediol may experience slight fluctuations and increases due to various factors such as supply and demand and raw materials.

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Refrigerant prices continue to rise (3.4-3.8)

1、 Price trend

 

Sulfamic acid 

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Business Society, as of March 8th, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 24166.67 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.11% from the beginning of the month’s price of 23666.67 yuan/ton, and an increase of 19.83% compared to the same period last year

 

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyishe, as of March 8th, the average price of refrigerant R134a was 30666.67 yuan/ton, which was the same as the beginning of the month and increased by 21.05% compared to the same period last year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

As of March 8th, the domestic price of trichloromethane has risen by 10.95% within the month, while the price of hydrofluoric acid has remained stable. The continuous increase in raw material costs has provided some support for the domestic refrigerant R22 market price. At the same time, with the support of the second generation refrigerant quota reduction, manufacturers have maintained a positive attitude towards price, and downstream demand has not decreased. With this support, the domestic refrigerant R22 market price continues to rise.

 

Entering March, the domestic price of trichloroethylene continued to fluctuate at a relatively low level, while the overall price of hydrofluoric acid remained stable. The upstream raw material prices fluctuated weakly, and the refrigerant quota policy was implemented. Industry and trade entities continued to be optimistic about the future market situation of refrigerants. In addition, downstream stocking started, and the market played a long short game. As a result, the overall price of R134a in China remained stable.

 

3、 Future Market Forecast

 

According to refrigerant analysts from Business Society, supported by costs and demand, the domestic R22 market price will continue to remain strong in the short term. Long short game, in the short term, the price of R134a will continue to operate at the current level with slight consolidation.

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Carbon black prices remained stable and rose this week (3.4-3.8)

According to data monitored by Business Society, the price of carbon black remained stable and upward this week. As of the 8th, the domestic N220 carbon black market price was 10300 yuan/ton.

 

In terms of raw materials, the market price of coal tar has risen this week. As of the 7th, the price of coal tar was 4925 yuan/ton. After the Spring Festival, the third round of price reduction for coke has landed, and the profitability of coke enterprises is about to lose, leading to a decline in their operating rate. The supply of coal tar in the field is tight, and downstream enterprise raw material inventory is rapidly digesting. The enthusiasm for purchasing coal tar has greatly increased, and the operating load of coke enterprises continues to decrease. The supply of coal tar in the field is relatively tight, and prices have risen. At present, the terminal demand for high-temperature coal tar is still acceptable, providing strong support for the cost of carbon black.

 

Construction status: Most carbon black enterprises have maintained a high level of construction this week.

 

In terms of terminals: The tire industry has abundant domestic and foreign sales orders, significantly increased production, and improved shipments. The current market inquiry enthusiasm has significantly increased, and the demand for raw material carbon black is still acceptable.

 

In the future, the rising prices of high-temperature coal tar in the market will strengthen the support for the cost of carbon black; The downstream tire industry has seen a significant increase in inquiries for entry into the market, and merchants have a good purchasing mentality. It is expected that the carbon black market will operate steadily, moderately, and strongly in the short term.

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Trading is flat and ammonium sulfate tends to weaken (3.1-3.7)

1、 Price trend

 

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Business Society, the average price of domestic ammonium sulfate market was 896 yuan/ton on March 1st, and 890 yuan/ton on March 7th. This week, the price of domestic ammonium sulfate market decreased by 0.74%.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

The domestic ammonium sulfate market price has fallen this week. At present, the market trading is flat, and there is resistance from downstream towards high prices, resulting in low price transactions. Ammonium sulfate manufacturers and distributors have slightly adjusted prices and are actively shipping. As of March 7th, the mainstream ex factory quotation for coking grade ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 830 yuan/ton. The mainstream ex factory quotation for ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 920-940 yuan/ton.

 

3、 Future Market Forecast

 

Analysts from Business Society believe that the price of ammonium sulfate has been weakening recently. The market demand is average, and the transaction atmosphere is poor. It is expected that the domestic ammonium sulfate market will slightly weaken in the short term, with consolidation and operation being the main trend.

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Supply pressure, n-butanol market continues to decline in early March

According to monitoring data from Business Society, as of March 6, 2023, the reference price of n-butanol in Shandong Province, China was 8133 yuan/ton. Compared with March 1 (reference price of n-butanol was 8383 yuan/ton), the price decreased by 250 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.98%. Compared to February 1st (reference price of n-butanol at 8816 yuan/ton), the price has been reduced by 200 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7.75%.

 

Entering March, the overall market for n-butanol in Shandong, China continued its downward trend from the end of February. Currently, the low-end price of n-butanol is still available for trading, but the overall atmosphere on the market is limited. The overall supply of some n-butanol in Shandong region is relatively loose, and some factories are under certain supply pressure. Therefore, currently, n-butanol factories are mainly actively offering discounts for shipments, and the overall transaction focus of n-butanol is constantly moving downwards. Some factories have quoted prices of n-butanol below 8000 yuan/ton. As of March 6th, the domestic market price of n-butanol in Shandong region is around 7900-8300 yuan/ton.

 

Future analysis

 

At present, the overall supply level of n-butanol in China has improved, with factories mainly maintaining low inventory shipments and downstream users mainly restocking on dips. The overall market transactions are hovering at the low end. According to the n-butanol data analyst from Business Society, in the short term, the domestic n-butanol market will mainly adjust and operate within a narrow range, and the specific trend still needs to pay more attention to changes in supply and demand news.

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