This week (3.2-6), the liquid ammonia market continued to rise slightly. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of the domestic liquid ammonia market rose significantly compared with that in mid February, and since the rebound began in late February, the range has exceeded 10%, In particular, the prices of some enterprises in the North continued to rise. Last week, some manufacturers slightly increased their prices by 50-100 yuan / ton. This time, liquid ammonia has increased by 500 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring of the business association, the increase of liquid ammonia this week was 0.36%.
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Since February, affected by the epidemic situation, the price of liquid ammonia has continued to decline, mainly because the dealers’ return rate is not high, the market has entered an empty window period, and they are generally in a closed state. In addition, the main problem is that the transportation is not smooth, the transportation of liquid ammonia has also entered a bottleneck period, the long-distance and high-speed transportation is limited, and multiple factors are superimposed, resulting in the weak market of liquid ammonia. However, in the past two weeks, we can see that On the one hand, the operation rate of liquid ammonia enterprises remained normal, and the manufacturers did not have much inventory in the early stage. Moreover, according to a manufacturer in Shandong, at present, the traffic has been basically solved, the manufacturer’s shipment is unblocked, and the demand of the downstream is slightly warmed up. In the spring farming season, the downstream fertilizer manufacturers increase their purchase, and the up-down linkage liquid ammonia market finally ushers in the warming up period. The main quotation in Shandong is 2850-3000 yuan / ton.
Continued last week’s upward trend, this week’s stable operation of liquid ammonia in North China led to a better market driven by the recovery of demand. In the early stage, the conversion of urea and the control of ammonia led to the low level of ammonia in the enterprise, and the enterprise’s inventory pressure was relieved. This week’s price slightly increased by 50 yuan / ton, and the mainstream quotation in North China was 2700-2900 yuan / ton up and down.
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This week, the price of liquid ammonia in Northwest China is still stable. Compared with last week, the quotation of enterprises has not changed much. Some enterprises have increased their quotation slightly. The main transportation problems have been alleviated obviously. On the one hand, the production has been stable at present, and the ammonia volume of enterprises has increased slightly. On the other hand, the commencement of downstream enterprises has also improved, and the delivery speed and strength of manufacturers have increased significantly compared with the beginning of the month. The price of Northwest mainstream is 2500-2600 yuan / ton.
From the perspective of the future market, the business community believes that the current market is a small peak in the peak season driven by the recovery of demand, and the manufacturer’s operating rate increases. With the increasing operating rate of downstream manufacturers, the pressure on liquid ammonia inventory has been alleviated to some extent. It is expected that the downstream nitrogen fertilizer production will expand with the coming of the peak season of spring ploughing, and the short-term market is expected to maintain a moderate trend, Prices will stabilize in the medium and long term.
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