1、 Price trend

According to the bulk data list of the business cooperative, the average price of 85% thermal phosphoric acid in the domestic market was 10320 yuan/ton on September 19, and 10130 yuan/ton on September 23. This week, the domestic price of thermal phosphoric acid fell 1.84%.

2、 Market analysis

The phosphoric acid market price stopped rising this week and turned down. The price of raw material yellow phosphorus fell back, the cost support weakened, and the price of phosphoric acid decreased accordingly. At present, the downstream is purchased on demand, mainly on the sidelines. As of September 23, the average market price of 85% thermal phosphoric acid in China was about 10130 yuan/ton. The ex factory quotation of 85 content thermal phosphoric acid in Sichuan is 9800-10800 yuan/ton, that in Yunnan is 10000 yuan/ton, that in Hubei is 9850 yuan/ton, that in Hubei is 9500 yuan/ton, and that in Nanjing is 9800 yuan/ton.

In terms of raw phosphorus ore, the domestic market for medium and high-end grade phosphorus ore continued to operate steadily this week. Up to now, the reference price of phosphate rock is 1064.00. The site is generally quiet, with little change in information. At present, the supply side is still tight, and the supply side continues to provide high support for the market. From the demand side, the low commencement of downstream phosphate fertilizer has brought some concern to the market.

In terms of raw material yellow phosphorus, the price of yellow phosphorus market fell slightly this week. At present, the market transaction is fair. Downstream stock has slowed down compared with last week, and inquiries have increased. The actual transaction is more cautious and more wait-and-see. Most manufacturers suspend the external quotation, and single discussion is preferred. Up to now, the mainstream quotation of Yunnan yellow phosphorus is about 36000-37000 yuan/ton; The mainstream quotation of Sichuan yellow phosphorus is about 37000 yuan/ton; The mainstream quotation of Guizhou yellow phosphorus is about 36000 yuan/ton.

3、 Future market forecast

Phosphoric acid analysts of the business association believe that the rise of the phosphoric acid market fell back this week due to the impact of the upstream yellow phosphorus market. Under the downward trend of the market, the over-the-counter trading of phosphoric acid is cautious. Under the condition that the raw material market trend is not clear, it is expected that the phosphoric acid market price will be dominated by weak and stable operation in the short term.

1、 Trend analysis

As shown in the figure above, the copper price fell slightly on the 22nd, with the spot price of 63106 yuan/ton, 0.15% lower than the previous trading day and 8.8% lower than the same period last year.

The US dollar surged to a 20-year high, and Luntong closed 0.84% lower overnight. Macro empty sentiment increased. On the supply side, the interference from overseas mines has temporarily ended, and the supply has gradually eased. As some smelters entered the maintenance state in September, TC continued to rise slightly by 0.54 dollars/ton month on month to 82.50 dollars/ton, and the supply at the mine end was looser than that at the smelting end. On the demand side, affected by real estate, epidemic, export and other factors this year, household appliances, electric tools and other industries have always been in a downturn. The sluggish supply and demand put pressure on copper prices. However, in the late September, there was some expectation for the downstream to stock up for the National Day holiday, which supported copper prices. It was expected that copper would have a strong trend of short-term shocks.

Trade name: cryolite

Latest price (September 21): 7725.00 yuan/ton

Key points for analysis: The cryolite market in Henan is running smoothly, and the average price of cryolite production is flat compared with the previous working day. The manufacturer reported that the upstream construction started at a low level, the raw materials were still tight, superimposed on the impact of high prices of coal, natural gas, etc., the production cost of the enterprise was under great pressure, the price of cryolite was mainly high, and the enthusiasm of downstream parties to enter the market was fair. The purchase was followed up as needed, the enterprise’s shipment was smooth, and the supply and demand in the site were relatively balanced.

Future market forecast: the short-term cryolite market continues to be high and firm, with the price temporarily stable as the main factor. The future market will focus on the market supply.

The factory raised the price by 200 yuan/ton, and all major mainstream markets in China kept up with the increase. The phenol market continued to hit a new high, with the increase of about 200 yuan/ton in East China, and other mainstream phenol trading regions also followed.

The offer of phenol in various markets nationwide is as follows:

Region, quotation, rise and fall

East China., 10850., 200

Shandong region., 10950., 180

Yanshan surrounding area, 10850, 150

South China, 10950, 200

After the Mid Autumn Festival holiday, the domestic EVA market continued to rise, showing a trend of first rising and then stabilizing, with the focus moving upward. According to the data monitoring of the business community, the average ex factory price of domestic EVA was 20166.67 yuan/ton on September 12, and 20766.67 yuan/ton on September 19, with a weekly increase of 2.98%, down 11.88% compared with the same period last year.

As of September 19, EVA factory quotation is as follows:

Product., manufacturer., model., ex factory price

EVA., Yanshan Petrochemical., 18J3., 21000 yuan/ton

EVA., Beijing Organic., Y2022., 19500 yuan/ton

EVA., Yangzi BASF., V5110J., 21800 yuan/ton

This week, the domestic EVA market continued to rise, and the price continued to rise. The increase in the week was mainly concentrated after the Mid Autumn Festival holiday, with a strong trend. After the festival, the ex factory prices of petrochemical enterprises reported continuously high, which brought obvious confidence to the market. In addition, the supply of some bidding goods continued to increase, which was good for the market mentality. The mentality of businessmen was good, and the price went up to a certain extent. However, in terms of demand, although Jinjiu ushered in the peak demand season, the demand for foaming materials did not increase as expected. Most of them were just in need of follow-up. The demand for photovoltaic materials was stable, and there was no change. The wait-and-see mood of the industry was strong, and the market trading atmosphere was general.

After the Mid Autumn Festival holiday, EVA has obviously increased, and then entered the consolidation stage. The current market has obvious positive factors, and the price is relatively firm. However, due to the fact that the increase of terminal demand did not meet the expectation, the downstream was cautious, Duowei kept making up on demand, and the wait-and-see mood was strong, which brought some restraint to the rising market. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic EVA market price will be relatively strong.