According to the data monitoring of business news agency, as of June 15, the average reference price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in mainstream areas in China was around 510 yuan / ton, which was basically the same as that on June 1, and increased by 30 yuan / ton or 6.25% compared with that on May 1 (480 yuan / ton).

After the Dragon Boat Festival, the domestic phosphorus ore market as a whole continued to run at a high level and stably. At present, in Guizhou, the transaction of medium and high-end phosphorus ore market is normal, the shipment of mining enterprises is normal, and the orders of cooperative old customers are relatively stable. The quotation of 30% grade phosphorus ore is about 430-480 yuan / ton, and that of 28% grade phosphorus ore is about 360-420 yuan / ton, Among them, the price of 30% grade phosphate ore in Xifeng of Guizhou is 450 yuan / T, and the price of 28% grade phosphate ore in Huifa of Fuquan of Guizhou is 420 yuan / T. In Hubei Province, it is heard that in the last ten days, phosphate rock enterprises in Hubei Province want to increase the price of phosphate rock, and the overall market transaction is more high-end. The quotation of 30% grade phosphate rock for mainstream ship plate is around 500-530 yuan / ton.

Downstream yellow phosphorus, starting from the second week of June, yellow phosphorus enterprises in Yunnan started to increase, and the price of yellow phosphorus market began to decline. According to the data monitoring of business news agency, as of June 14, the reference price of domestic yellow phosphorus was 23500 yuan / ton, which was 6% lower than that of June 1 (25000 yuan / ton).

Downstream phosphoric acid, the phosphoric acid market is affected by the downward trend of raw material yellow phosphorus, and the quotation of individual regions has slightly decreased. The overall wait-and-see atmosphere of the market is heavy. According to the data monitoring of business society, as of June 14, the reference price of phosphoric acid was 6350 yuan / ton, up 2.7% compared with June 1 (6183.33 yuan / ton).

The price of downstream monoammonium phosphate went up in May and then entered June. At present, the overall high and stable operation. At present, the trading atmosphere in the yard is normal. The ex factory price of 55% powdered ammonium phosphate is 2650-2750 yuan / ton, and that of 58% powdered ammonium phosphate is 2750-2800 yuan / ton. According to the data monitoring of the business association, as of June 14, the reference price of map was 2616.67 yuan / ton, which was the same as that on June 1.

Forecast and analysis of future trend of phosphate rock

At present, the downward trend of downstream Yellow Phosphorus market has a certain impact on the market trend of phosphorus ore, but the price adjustment of some mining enterprises in Hubei will also bring positive impetus to the market. Therefore, the phosphorus ore analysts of the business community believe that in the short term, the domestic phosphorus ore market will be mainly adjusted in a narrow range, the low end price will continue to rise, and the high end price will continue to maintain a high level.

According to the monitoring of business news agency, the price trend of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable this week. As of the end of the week, the market price of hydrofluoric acid was 10020 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year increase of 13.86%.

The price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid is temporarily stable this week. Up to now, the mainstream price of domestic hydrofluoric acid in various regions is 9400-9700 yuan / ton. The quotations of some manufacturers are higher than the market price. The actual transaction market on the floor is weak. The price of domestic hydrofluoric acid is mainly stable. With the support of domestic hydrofluoric acid spot supply in the near future, the price trend on the floor is temporarily stable.

The domestic hydrofluoric acid spot supply is sufficient, part of the hydrofluoric acid plants in the field are restarted, and the price of upstream raw materials of hydrofluoric acid has little change. So far, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the southern region is 9400-9600 yuan / ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 9400-9700 yuan / ton. Recently, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is mainly stable, and the manufacturers report that the recent delivery situation is not good, but the price of hydrofluoric acid market still has downward pressure in the later stage.

The market price trend of fluorite, the raw material of hydrofluoric acid, is temporarily stable. By the end of the week, the domestic price of fluorite was 2616.67 yuan / ton. This week, the price trend is stable. Recently, the domestic fluorite spot supply is normal. However, with the temperature rising, some manufacturers in the north are gradually starting up. However, recently, the environmental protection supervision is strict, and the affected plants in some areas are parking, This week, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable. Up to now, the mainstream of domestic fluorite negotiations is 2400-2600 yuan / ton. The high price of fluorite in the market is the cost support of hydrofluoric acid market, and the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

The market trend of domestic refrigerants is temporarily stable. Recently, the sales situation of the automobile industry is normal. The market of refrigerants is temporarily stable. The demand is mainly purchased on demand. The trend of the refrigerant industry remains stable. The market of various types of refrigerants has little change. However, the manufacturers are under pressure to ship, the sales pressure is large, the price of raw material hydrofluoric acid is declining, and the cost support is lost. The export volume of refrigerants has little change, The output of downstream air conditioning is low, the demand is scarce, the off-season effect of after-sales market continues, and the refrigerant price remains stable temporarily. On the whole, negative factors dominate the refrigerant market, and the prices of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform are lower, which makes the refrigerant industry under pressure. At present, the load of R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is in a reasonable range, the market price trend is stable, but the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there is a lot of wait-and-see mood, the delivery situation of goods holders is normal, some businesses still have the phenomenon of cost inversion, and the mainstream of on-site negotiation is 16000-17500 yuan / ton. Domestic R134a manufacturers are operating at low load, and the price trend of R134a remains stable. However, the current demand procurement is the main, the downstream enterprises are not high, and the traders are in a strong wait-and-see mood. At present, the market quotation of refrigerant R134a is mostly in the range of 20000-24000 yuan / ton, but the transaction atmosphere is general, the market trend of downstream refrigerants is stable, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

Judging from the industrial chain diagram, the price trend of fluorine chemical industry is declining, the price of raw material fluorite is falling, and the price of downstream refrigerant products is gradually falling. However, the domestic hydrofluoric acid plant has been running stably recently, the spot supply is normal, and the downstream demand does not change much. Chen Ling, the hydrofluoric acid analyst of the business community, thinks that the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market may be stable temporarily.

According to the monitoring data of the business community, as of June 11, the factory price of domestic industrial grade propylene glycol reference 15766 yuan / ton, compared with the price on June 1, the average price decreased by 233 yuan / ton, or 1.46%.

According to the monitoring data of the business community, the average ex factory price of domestic industrial dimethyl carbonate is 6700 yuan / ton, which is increased by 1034 yuan / ton, or 18.24%, compared with the price on June 1, 2021 (reference price 5666 yuan / ton).

At present, the production of propylene glycol and dimethyl carbonate in domestic factories is more common. Propylene oxide is used as the main raw material to produce dimethyl carbonate by transesterification, and propylene glycol is produced at the same time. Therefore, the market of propylene glycol and dimethyl carbonate also has a certain correlation. Here’s a brief introduction to the recent product market:

In June, after a sharp decline in May, the market price of domestic industrial grade propylene glycol continued to decline in early June. On the 9th, the market price of propylene glycol finally ushered in a slight rebound, but compared with the beginning of the month, the price was still at the low end, but the overall market momentum was growing. The main factor supporting the rebound of propylene glycol price this time is the shutdown and maintenance of propylene glycol / dimethyl carbonate units in some factories. In the short term, the market supply is reduced, the downstream replenishment is increased, and the price is rising. At the same time, dimethyl carbonate was also supported by the supply side. After the price of propylene glycol fell below 14500 yuan / ton in the early stage, in order to maintain the balance of profit and profit, the co production plant of dimethyl carbonate was eager to try to increase the price. This time, the supply of equipment maintenance was reduced, the downstream demand was good, and the orders increased. With the support of various factors, the market price of dimethyl carbonate rose sharply, The increase was much higher than that of propylene glycol, with an increase of more than 18% on the 10th.

In terms of upstream propylene oxide, the market of propylene oxide fell in May and continued to decline in June. In recent years, the overall operating rate of propylene oxide is high, the supply side is abundant, but the demand side is insufficient to follow up. In the process of price decline, the downstream risk aversion is heavy, the market is more wait-and-see, the trading rhythm slows down, and the focus of market negotiation is gradually lower. At present, the mainstream price of propylene oxide Market in Shandong is around 13500-13700 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price of propylene oxide Market in East China is around 13700-13900 yuan / ton.

Future forecast

In terms of propylene glycol, the market as a whole is stable and relatively strong. The mainstream factories mainly sell by orders, and the inventory pressure is low. The downstream companies continue to purchase just in time, and the trading atmosphere is acceptable. It is heard that there are still factories shut down for maintenance in the latter ten days, which is good for propylene glycol. Business analysts believe that the short-term propylene glycol market is mainly stable and strong.

In terms of dimethyl carbonate, the current market trading atmosphere is relatively active, with transaction preference. It is expected that the market will mainly operate at high and stable levels in the short term.

According to the monitoring data of the business community, as of June 10, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 14900 yuan / ton, up 267 yuan / ton, or 1.82%, compared with June 9; Compared with the price on June 1 (reference average price of n-butanol was 13800 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 1100 yuan / ton, or 7.97%.

On June 10, the domestic n-butanol market continued to move closer to the high end, with a maximum daily increase of 500 yuan / ton. At present, the overall trading atmosphere is good, the n-butanol operation rate is low, the spot supply is tight, the inventory pressure is small, and the downstream procurement is active. Compared with the beginning of this month, the cumulative increase of n-butanol plant is 500-1000 yuan / ton. As of October 10, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong has risen to 14900 yuan / ton, among which the ex factory price of n-butanol in North China of Wanhua chemical has risen to 15000 yuan / ton, Compared with the previous working day, it increased by 400 yuan / ton; The ex factory price of n-butanol of Luxi group is 15000 yuan / ton, up 300 yuan / ton compared with the previous working day. The ex factory price of n-butanol of Shandong lihuayi chemical is 14700 yuan / ton, up 200 yuan / ton compared with the previous working day.

Upstream, on June 10, the domestic propylene market in Shandong decreased slightly, but compared with the beginning of June, it still rose by 3.35%. At present, as of the 10th, the transaction volume of propylene market in Shandong has risen to 7800 ~ 8100 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 7900 yuan / ton.

Smooth conduction and strong short-term market

At present, the supply of n-butanol is tight, and the atmosphere is strong. The lower reaches are looking for bargains. The market atmosphere is good, and the conduction is relatively smooth. The n-butanol analysts of the business community believe that in the near future, most of the domestic n-butanol factories will continue to make strong offers.

According to the monitoring data of the business community, as of June 9, the reference price of domestic industrial dimethyl carbonate was 6600 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on June 1, 2021 (reference price 5666 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 900 yuan / ton, or 13.14%.

Since June, the domestic industrial grade dimethyl carbonate market has been warming up, the downstream demand has performed well, the transaction volume has increased, the inventory pressure of dimethyl carbonate factory has eased, and the market price of dimethyl carbonate has been rising. On the 7th, the factory quotation of dimethyl carbonate in Shandong Province was 6500-6700 yuan / ton, which was 1000 yuan / ton higher than that of the previous working day, The manufacturers of dimethyl carbonate in Anhui also increased the ex factory price of dimethyl carbonate by 800 yuan / ton. At present, the overall market activity is good, and the quotation is mainly firm. As of June 9, the reference ex factory average price of domestic industrial grade dimethyl carbonate was 6600 yuan / ton. Compared with the beginning of June, the average price of domestic industrial grade dimethyl carbonate increased by 900 yuan / ton, or more than 13%.

In terms of upstream propylene oxide, the market of propylene oxide fell in May and continued to decline in June. In recent years, the overall operating rate of propylene oxide is high, the supply side is abundant, but the demand side is insufficient to follow up. In the process of price decline, the downstream risk aversion is heavy, the market is more wait-and-see, the trading rhythm slows down, and the focus of market negotiation is gradually lower. At present, the mainstream price of propylene oxide Market in Shandong is around 13500-13700 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price of propylene oxide Market in East China is around 13700-13900 yuan / ton.

In terms of upstream methanol, the domestic methanol market has declined in many regions recently, which has brought bad news to the market. June 7, Henan methanol market offer lower, trading in general. The main enterprises in Henan offer 2360 yuan / ton factory withdrawal acceptance, other enterprises refer to 2380 yuan / ton factory withdrawal cash, Luoyang market offer reference 2330 yuan / ton can cash. The mainstream transaction price of Linfen in Shanxi fell by 30-80 yuan / ton to 2150-2220 yuan / ton in cash; Changzhi area offline price to 2400 yuan / ton factory cash; The mainstream transaction price in Jincheng area was stable at 2300 yuan / ton in cash.

In terms of upstream dimethyl ether, the overall dimethyl ether Market showed a downward trend in late May, and there was a sharp downward trend in this week’s market. Affected by the traditional off-season factors, the decline is not unexpected. In the first ten days of May, the dimethyl ether market continued to rise, pushing the price up to a high level. Since the end of last ten days, dimethyl ether has not been good enough and has been greatly reduced. The overall decline of methanol cost was the main trend, while the trend of LPG civil market was weak, which brought bad news to the market. On the supply side, some manufacturers have recently restarted their devices, and the market supply has increased. On the demand side, the poor terminal demand has brought obvious constraints to the market, the downstream replenishment cycle has been lengthened, the replenishment is mostly on demand, and the enthusiasm is not good. There are many negative factors in the market, leading to a sharp drop in prices. According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average price of dimethyl ether in Henan market was 3675.00 yuan / ton on June 6 and 3540.00 yuan / ton on June 7, with a one-day drop of 3.67%, up 57.80% over the same period last year.

Analysis of future trend

On the whole, the demand for dimethyl carbonate has been supported effectively. Recently, the market price has been steadily rising. However, another factor still needs to be considered. The market of propylene oxide, the main raw material of dimethyl carbonate, has continued to decline, and the cost support for dimethyl carbonate has weakened. Therefore, it remains to be seen whether the market of dimethyl carbonate can continue to move towards the high end when the cost runs counter to the demand, Therefore, business community dimethyl carbonate analysts believe that the short-term dimethyl carbonate market to narrow consolidation operation.