Recent price trend of isooctanol

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of isooctanol in Shandong Province has experienced twists and turns this week, with an overall downward trend. This week, the mainstream ex factory average price of isooctanol in Shandong fell from 10933.33 yuan / ton last weekend to 10900.00 yuan / ton on December 6, a decrease of 0.30%, then rose to 11000.00 yuan / ton on December 8, an increase of 0.92%, and finally fell to 10700.00 yuan / ton this weekend, a decrease of 2.73%, a year-on-year increase of 7.36%. Overall, Shandong isooctanol market fell slightly this week. On December 10, the isooctanol commodity index was 78.68, down 1.47 points from yesterday, down 42.78% from the highest point 137.50 in the cycle (2021-08-08), and up 123.84% from the lowest point 35.15 on February 1, 2016. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

The upstream support is enhanced and the downstream demand is general

From the perspective of manufacturer’s quotation, the ex factory quotation of mainstream manufacturers of isooctanol in Shandong fell this week: Jianlan chemical offered about 10700 yuan / ton of isooctanol this weekend, which fell by 300 yuan / ton compared with last weekend, mainly contract; The quotation of lihuayi isooctanol this weekend is 10700 yuan / ton, which is 100 yuan / ton lower than that last weekend; Hualu Hengsheng offered 10700 yuan / ton of isooctanol this weekend, down 300 yuan / ton compared with last weekend.

From the upstream raw material market of isooctanol, the propylene market rose first and then fell this week. The quotation first rose from 7458.33 yuan / ton last weekend to 7562.17 yuan / ton on December 8, an increase of 1.39%, and then fell to 7505.50 yuan / ton this weekend, a decrease of 0.75%, down 8.15% year-on-year. The market price of upstream raw materials rose slightly, which had a positive impact on the price of isooctanol due to the impact of supply and demand.

From the downstream market of isooctanol, the ex factory price of DOP fell slightly this week. The DOP price dropped from 10850.00 yuan / ton last weekend to 10550.00 yuan / ton this weekend, down 2.76%, up 9.14% year-on-year over the same period last year. Downstream DOP prices fell slightly, and downstream customers’ enthusiasm for isooctanol procurement weakened.

Weak demand and bearish outlook

In mid December, the market trend of Shandong isooctanol may fluctuate slightly, mainly falling. The upstream propylene rose slightly and the cost support was strengthened, but there was a downward trend at the weekend. At the same time, the downstream DOP market fell slightly, the downstream market continued to decline, and there was no sign of improvement in demand. According to isooctanol analysts of business society, in mid December, Shandong isooctanol market may fluctuate slightly.

1、 Price trend

Latest price (December 9): 34333.33 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of business society, on December 9, the price of refrigerant R134a fell broadly, the price of raw material hydrofluoric acid fell, trichloroethylene continued to decline, the cost support weakened, coupled with weak demand, poor shipment of cargo holders, increased inventory of refrigerant manufacturers, and the price fell sharply. Up to now, the market quotation of R134a is in the range of 29500-40000 yuan / ton, The actual transaction price is lower, and the center of gravity moves down significantly.

R134a market is expected to decline in the short term.

Trade name: monoammonium phosphate

Latest price: 3166 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: the price of monoammonium phosphate was stable on December 8, which was flat compared with the previous trading day. Today, the atmosphere in the first floor was cold and the trading volume decreased. Downstream compound fertilizer enterprises have weak demand for monoammonium, take a small amount of goods, and their purchase intention is not positive. One ammonium plant shall be subject to single discussion and negotiation.

Future forecast: monoammonium phosphate will run downward in the short term.

Trade name: cryolite

Latest price (December 7): 7275 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: today, the average production price of cryolite in Henan increased by 1.04% compared with yesterday, and the market is running firmly. Cryolite manufacturers react to the shortage of raw materials and high production costs. The cryolite output of enterprises is less, the quotation is mainly high, and the downstream demand is OK. Enterprises negotiate shipment, and the upstream output supports the cryolite market to maintain a high operation.

Future forecast: cryolite market will remain stable in the short term.

Trade name: potassium chloride

Latest price (December 6): 3190.00 yuan / ton

On December 6, the ex factory price of domestic potassium chloride was temporarily stable, which was the same as the quotation on December 3. The market price of 60% white potassium made in China is about 3700-3800 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of 57% powder of Qinghai small factory is about 2900-3000 yuan / ton, and the supply of goods is tight. The price of 62% white potassium in the port is about 4000-4100 yuan / ton. Border trade 62% Russian White potassium will not be quoted temporarily. The market of downstream potassium carbonate and potassium nitrate has increased slightly recently, and the enthusiasm for next procurement has been enhanced.

Recently, the price of domestic potassium chloride may rise slightly, and the quotation is about 3200 yuan / ton.