1、 Price trend
According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the market price of domestic chlorinated paraffin fell slightly this week. On January 6, the average ex factory price of 52 domestic first-class chlorinated paraffin products was 5033 yuan / ton, and on January 12, the average ex factory price was 4933 yuan / ton, with a price drop of 1.99%. Up to now, the commodity index of chlorinated paraffin on January 13 is 73.45, which is the same as yesterday, 32.88% lower than the highest point of 109.43 (2013-12-03), and 15.04% higher than the lowest point of 63.85 on September 26, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-06-01 to now)
|Sulfamic acid 99.80%|
2、 Market analysis
Products: at present, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 5300 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Central China is 4700-5500 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4700-5400 yuan / ton 。 The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton.
Industry chain: the overall transaction atmosphere of the current market is general, and the demand is weak. The price of wax in upstream raw material liquid remained stable, and the market price of liquid chlorine was slightly reduced. Raw material market is low.
Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the first week of 2020 (1.6-1.10), there are 27 kinds of commodities rising month by month in the list of commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, among which there are 3 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 3.5% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 commodities are bisphenol A (9.65%), glycol (7.92%), ammonium chloride (5.09%). There are 18 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and 1 kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are caustic soda (- 5.22%), chloroform (- 4.55%), sodium metabisulfite (- 3.79%). This week’s average was 0.35%.
3、 Future forecast
Analysts of chlorinated paraffin in business association believe that due to poor raw material market, falling price, cost reduction of chlorinated paraffin and weak terminal demand. It is expected that the weak finishing of chlorinated paraffin in the later stage will be the main one.