On January 15, the price of silicon metal (441 yuan) rose

1. Trade name: silicon metal (441 × 3)

 

2. Latest price (January 15, 2020): 11858.33 yuan / ton

 

The price of 441 × silicon in each region is as follows:

 

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The price range of metal silicon in Fujian is 11300-11400 yuan / ton, in Sichuan is 11600-11700 yuan / ton, in Kunming is 11600-11700 yuan / ton, in Shanghai is 12400-12600 yuan / ton, in Tianjin port is 11900-12100 yuan / ton, in Huangpu port is 11900-12100 yuan / ton 。

 

3. Analysis points:

 

Production end: since January, the operation rate of manufacturers in Southwest China (Yunnan, Sichuan, Guizhou) has continued to be low in the early stage. It is reported that the operating rates in Sichuan and Yunnan have declined to around 20%, and most of the open furnace plants produce chemical grade silicon, and the inventory of the closed silicon plants has declined significantly, while in Fujian and Guizhou, due to the factor of electricity price, there are not many starts.

 
At present, social inventory has declined significantly. On the one hand, based on the factory operating rate, on the other hand, due to the consumer end, domestic trade and foreign trade are in stock before.

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Consumer end: Recently, domestic aluminum alloy and polysilicon enterprises prepared goods years ago, and bidding for some silicone plants has been carried out in succession. Orders for low-grade silicon are surging in silicon production plants, while high-grade silicon is released due to quarterly bidding orders from large foreign factories.

 

Social inventory continued to move down, market expectations rose, producers’ willingness to hold prices strengthened, and commodity traders’ psychological prices increased.

 

4. Future forecast: close to the Spring Festival, coupled with tight freight, it is expected that the short-term stable and strong operation of silicon metal will prevail.

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