After the National Day holiday, domestic viscose staple fiber continued to operate in a weak position, and the overall price fell slightly. After the festival, some manufacturers released an offer increase of 200 yuan/ton, but the terminal new orders were light, the downstream spinning was not enthusiastic enough to follow up, the overall deal was not followed up, the negotiated price was still basically maintained, and the wait-and-see mood was strong; The price fell back on the 13th, and the overall price fell slightly. The start-up rate of viscose staple fiber industry is maintained. At present, the overall load is about 60%. Under the loss operation of the manufacturer, the overall low start-up may continue. Renmian yarn continued its weak trend, the long holiday was basically over, some enterprises that had stopped work during the festival resumed work in succession, and the commencement of work gradually recovered to the pre festival level, with the overall price remaining stable
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Price trend of viscose staple fiber
According to the price monitoring of the business community, as of October 14, 2022, the ex factory quotation of 1.2D * 38mm viscose staple fiber in China was 13760 yuan/ton, a decrease of 80 yuan/ton, or 0.58%, compared with the price before the festival. The price of rayon yarn remained stable. As of October 14, 2022 (30S, ring spinning, first class), the average ex factory price was 18166 yuan/ton, which was the same as the price before the festival.
Price rise and fall chart of viscose staple fiber/rayon yarn industry chain
Inventory and demand
The start-up rate of viscose staple fiber industry is maintained. At present, the overall load is about 60%. Under the loss operation of the manufacturer, the overall low start-up may continue. In addition, the cotton yarn production of the tourists decreased. Recently, most viscose staple fiber factories have no obvious negative intention, and the overall supply pressure of the industry is average. The downstream still maintained the level of just in demand procurement, and the inventory of finished products of cotton yarn enterprises rose by a narrow margin. The downstream orders of rayon yarn were not as expected, the terminal demand showed no signs of improvement, and the willingness to take delivery of goods was not high in the short term, and the demand side continued to operate weakly.
Future market forecast
In terms of demand, the weak market situation is difficult to ease, and enterprise operations still focus on priority shipping; The inventory transfer of viscose staple fiber and rayon yarn was blocked, and the market was pessimistic. Analysts from the business community predicted that the industrial chain of viscose staple fiber and rayon yarn would continue to operate in a weak position, and the price of viscose staple fiber was easy to fall but difficult to rise.
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