On February 22, 2021, in the price rise and fall list of fluorine chemical industry, there were 1 commodity that rose, 0 commodity that fell, and 6 commodities that rose or fell to 0. Rising products include fluorite; stable products include hydrofluoric acid, R22, R134a, aluminum fluoride, cryolite and chloroform.

On February 22, the market price trend of fluorine chemical raw materials was mainly stable. The price of raw material fluorite was 2744.44 yuan / ton, and the price of fluorite rose slightly. Recently, some domestic fluorite plants were generally started, and some in site mines and flotation plants were shut down. The supply of fluorite in the site was tight. However, the downstream market was mainly stable, and the price of fluorite was affected and the increase was limited. As of the 22nd, the price of fluorite in Inner Mongolia was 2600-2800 yuan / ton, and the price of fluorite in Inner Mongolia was 2500-2600 yuan / ton. It is expected that the price of fluorite will remain high and volatile in the future.

In the near future, the market trend of the downstream refrigerant industry is general, the operating rate remains low, and the demand for hydrofluoric acid is general. However, due to the reduction of the supply in the market, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable. As of the 22nd, the quotation of hydrofluoric acid market is 10600 yuan / ton. In the near future, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is stable, and the operating rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid is less than 60% The supply of goods is normal, the market of goods on the floor is normal recently, and the ex factory price of some enterprises is stable. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation is 10000-11000 yuan / ton. However, people on the floor reflect that it is difficult for the hydrofluoric acid market to rise in the near future, and business analyst Chen Ling thinks that the market situation of hydrofluoric acid may remain volatile.

The price trend of aluminum fluoride products is temporarily stable, the market supply is normal, and the trading market is general. The ex factory price of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Tianrui Crystal Technology Co., Ltd. is 8700 yuan / ton, and the price of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Zerun energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. is 8700 yuan / ton. The overall market supply of aluminum fluoride is sufficient, and the overall price of aluminum fluoride market is relatively stable.

In recent years, the price trend of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is temporarily stable, the overall demand of downstream market has little change, and the demand for trichloromethane is general. As the downstream market begins to stock, the price of trichloromethane rises slightly. At present, the start-up of chloroform production enterprises in Shandong is high, the market spot supply is stable, and the shipping situation of enterprises is flat. In order to prevent excessive warehouse pressure in the future, enterprises bid for shipping. At present, Shandong offers 2350-2450 yuan / ton.

In recent years, the price trend of domestic cryolite is temporarily stable, the operation of the plant is stable, and the supply is normal. The domestic negotiation price is about 6500-7000 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiation. In general, the recent market of fluorine chemical industry is general, and it is expected that the trend of fluorine chemical industry will remain volatile in the later period.

In the near future, the price trend of downstream refrigerants R22 and R134a is temporarily stable, the raw material chloroform continues to be weak, the support of cost side is weakened, the downstream goods preparation is finished, the traders continue to withdraw from the market, the demand side continues to decline, and the market center moves down. As the price of hydrofluoric acid returns to stability, the affected price of refrigerants is temporarily stable. The price trend of R134a is mainly stable and the market is relatively strong. In the near future, the start-up in the downstream remained low, but the raw material support was strong, and the refrigerant market was mainly volatile.

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, since new year’s day, the terminal manufacturers have been parking for maintenance, and the demand has declined. The hydrogen peroxide market has opened a downward channel, and the price has dropped by a thousand miles. From January to the Spring Festival, the market price of hydrogen peroxide is 1430 yuan / ton in early January, and 1093 yuan / ton on February 20, with an overall price drop of 23.54%.

According to the weekly rise and fall chart of hydrogen peroxide from December 2020 to February 14, 2021, it can be seen that the price of hydrogen peroxide rises steadily every week in December, with an increase of 1% – 2%, and the highest weekly increase is close to 3%. Since January, terminal demand has been weakening, and hydrogen peroxide has been falling continuously, with a weekly decline of about one point. The hydrogen peroxide market has fallen sharply towards the end of the month, and the hydrogen peroxide price has dropped by 9.79% in January. In February, before the Spring Festival, hydrogen peroxide still dropped. After the Spring Festival, the price of hydrogen peroxide continued to decline. As of February 20, the price of hydrogen peroxide had dropped by more than 23% compared with the beginning of January.

Consumption off-season coming, hydrogen peroxide still weak decline after the festival

After the new year’s day, with the coming of the Spring Festival, the terminal paper industry and caprolactam manufacturers have stopped for maintenance in succession. Coupled with the Limited Logistics in Hebei and environmental protection factors, hydrogen peroxide has entered the traditional off-season consumption, the terminal demand has shrunk sharply, and the price has been falling all the way. The mainstream quotation fell below 1200 yuan / ton from 1400 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, down more than 9%, and went straight to 10%.

Since February, the demand of terminal paper industry and caprolactam has declined, and hydrogen peroxide has started a sharp decline mode. On the eve of the Spring Festival, hydrogen peroxide dropped by more than 11%. During the Spring Festival, the hydrogen peroxide manufacturers operate normally, and the supply is loose. After the festival, hydrogen peroxide manufacturers continued to reduce the ex factory price, and the price continued to fall. By the 20th, the average price of hydrogen peroxide market had dropped to 1093 yuan / ton, 12.88% lower than that in early February.

Mainstream price of hydrogen peroxide in various regions of China

On February 20, the mainstream quotation of hydrogen peroxide in Anhui was about 1130 yuan / ton, down 150 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of February; the mainstream quotation of hydrogen peroxide in Shandong was 1000 yuan / ton, down 70 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of February. The mainstream quotation of hydrogen peroxide in Hunan is 1200 yuan / ton, down 350 yuan / ton from the beginning of February.

Li Bing, hydrogen peroxide analyst of business news agency, thinks: the printing paper industry of hydrogen peroxide terminal has entered the traditional consumption off-season, and the hydrogen peroxide price is still weak in the short term.

1、 Price trend of propylene oxide

(Figure: p-value curve of propylene oxide product source: business community commodity analysis system)

2、 Market analysis

On February 19, the market price of propylene oxide rose. According to the data of the business club’s block list, as of February 19, the average quotation price of propylene oxide enterprises was 17300 yuan / ton, up 0.78% compared with the previous trading day, and down 8.30% compared with January 19.

After the festival, the market price of propylene oxide continued to rise. In terms of raw materials, the price of propylene rose, and the cost support rose. In terms of supply, factories generally had low inventory, new orders were smooth, and the price of downstream polyether rose. The overall market atmosphere was good, and the negotiation center of propylene oxide market was higher. At present, the mainstream quotation of propylene oxide Market in Shandong was around 17000-17100 yuan / ton.

Upstream propylene, February 18, Shandong propylene market prices rose significantly. According to the price chart of the business club, the price of propylene declined all the way at the end of January, rose slightly at the end of the month, and then began to stabilize. On the 8th, the price of enterprises generally dropped by 50 yuan / ton, and then entered the Spring Festival holiday. Most of them remained stable in the first half of the year, while the price rose steadily in the second half of the year (from February 15). Today is the first day of official work, the price rose by about 200 yuan / ton, and the current market transaction is 7300 ~ 7550 yuan/ The mainstream price rose to about 7300 yuan / ton.

Downstream propylene glycol, according to the monitoring data of the business community, as of February 18, the factory price of domestic industrial grade propylene glycol was 13166.67 yuan / ton, which was the same as the price before the festival (February 10); downstream soft foam polyether, on February 18, the market offer of soft foam polyether in Shandong rose, the price of raw material propylene oxide rose, the cost support was strengthened, the mentality of the industry was boosted, and the market inquiry and gas buying were increased .

3、 Future forecast

According to the propylene oxide analysts of business news agency, at present, the price of propylene is rising, the factory inventory is under no pressure, and the downstream follow-up is steady. It is expected that the propylene oxide market may be strong in the short term, and the specific trend still needs to pay attention to the market information guidance.

According to the monitoring data of the business community, as of February 18, the average quoted price of silicone DMC in the mainstream area of data monitoring was 21666 yuan / ton, which was 133 yuan / ton higher than that before the Spring Festival (21533 yuan / ton on February 10), or 0.62%; and 566 yuan / ton higher than that on February 1, 2021 (21100 yuan / ton), or 2.69% .

On the eve of the Spring Festival and in early February, the domestic silicone DMC market has begun to rise steadily. The factory’s pre orders are in good condition before the festival, and the confidence of the industry has increased. Since early February, the market has gradually warmed up under the leadership of Shandong’s leading enterprises. Until before the Spring Festival, on the 10th, the mainstream reference quotation of silicone DMC was around 21300-21800 yuan / ton, and the individual high-end quotation was 22000 yuan / ton. Subsequently, the logistics industry stopped operation one after another, and the market also entered a stable period.

Expected to be better after the festival

After the festival, supported by the good demand performance before the festival, the inventory pressure of the factory after the festival was small, the confidence of the industry was maintained, and the sunny atmosphere was good. On the 18th, Shandong big factory made a good start. On the first day of construction, it took the lead in increasing the ex factory quotation of silicone DMC by 200-300 yuan / ton. On the 18th, the mainstream reference quotation of silicone DMC in China was around 21500-22000 yuan / ton. At present, the downstream of silicone DMC has gradually resumed work and production, and the upstream and downstream transmission has remained normal. After the festival, replenishment will be carried out one after another, and the overall market is expected to be better.

After the festival, silicone DMC will continue to rise

Considering the current market situation, the downstream demand of silicone DMC is much better than that at this time last year. In addition, after the climate warms up, the terminal is gradually resumed, and the supply and demand transmission is relatively smooth. Under this situation, the industry is full of confidence. The silicone DMC analysts of the business community believe that silicone DMC will continue to rise steadily after the festival.

Crude oil and gasoline prices rose, but during the Spring Festival, gasoline demand was expected to be poor, MTBE market shipment was hindered, and the domestic MTBE market price rise was less than that of crude oil and gasoline. According to the data of business news agency, the price of MTBE on February 5 was 4700 yuan / ton, up 2.92% from the beginning of the week.

On the one hand, the extremely cold weather caused by the blizzard attack in the southeast of the United States has led to a rapid rise in fuel heating demand. Moreover, recently, the organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC +) have continued to effectively promote production reduction, which has brought a good supply side environment to oil prices. Moreover, the sharp decline in US commercial crude oil inventories in the past two weeks has become a direct driver to stimulate the rise of oil prices. International crude oil prices rose sharply this week, with WTI crude oil up 8.91% and Brent crude oil up 7.81%. In terms of gasoline, the weather is getting warmer, and local governments are advocating local Chinese New Year holidays. The terminal demand for gasoline is lower than that of the same period. Recently, the international crude oil price has risen sharply, which has promoted the enthusiasm of downstream customers to prepare goods and pushed up the price of gasoline.

The recent sharp rise in international oil prices has promoted the increase of downstream stock preparation intention before the festival, increased the purchasing enthusiasm of MTBE and other raw materials, smooth delivery of MTBE manufacturers, and actively promoted the rise of low inventory. At present, the price of MTBE is at a high level, and the price of MTBE continues to rise less than that of crude oil and gasoline.

MTBE product analyst of business society energy branch thinks: after the international crude oil price rises sharply, it is likely to maintain a high level, and it is less likely to continue to explore the high level. The gasoline market demand is less than expected, and the gasoline price is mainly stable. It is expected that the MTBE market price will be stable.