First, the price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business community, the domestic calcium carbide market rose this week, with little increase. This week, the average price of the mainstream manufacturers of calcium carbide manufacturers rose from 3022 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 3048 yuan / ton at the weekend, an increase of 26 yuan / ton, an increase of 0.88%. Compared with the same period of last year, it increased by 11.27%. Overall, this week’s market price of calcium carbide has risen slightly.

Second, the trend analysis

(1) Products:

The market price of calcium carbide in the main calcium carbide production area has risen steadily this week. The mainstream ex-factory price of calcium carbide in Wuhai and Erdos districts in Inner Mongolia is 2900-3150 yuan/ton, and the price is slightly higher; the price of first-class products in Inner Mongolia Wumeng is 2850 yuan/ton, the price is temporarily stable; the mainstream ex-factory price of calcium carbide in Xinjiang is 2950 yuan/ton. Temporarily stable.

The mainstream ex-factory price of calcium carbide in Shizuishan area of Ningxia is about 2850-3160 yuan/ton, and the price is slightly higher. The mainstream ex-factory price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi area is about 3080-3200 yuan/ton, and the price is slightly higher. The mainstream ex-factory price of calcium carbide in Gansu is 3,200 yuan / ton, and the price has increased slightly. Overall, the price of calcium carbide has risen steadily this week.

2) Industry chain:

Upstream raw materials market: Coke factory prices fell this week. The quotation fell from 2,572 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2,516 yuan / ton at the weekend, down 56 yuan / ton, a decrease of 2.19%, an increase of 15.96% over the same period last year. The decline in raw material prices has a negative impact on the market of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: The price of pvc ex-factory fell slightly this week. The price of pvc dropped from 6,916 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week to 6,879 yuan/ton at the weekend, a drop of 37 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.54%, which was 899% lower than the same period of last year. The enthusiasm of downstream customers for calcium carbide procurement is not high, the demand for calcium carbide is falling, and the price of PVC has a negative impact on the market of calcium carbide.

Third, the market outlook

After the adjustment in August, the funds returned by the factories were in good condition, the equipment was overhauled, and the production capacity increased. The price of upstream raw materials fell, the cost of calcium carbide fell, and the decline in the parade caused the decline in demand for calcium carbide. The market outlook predicts that the price of calcium carbide will fluctuate and fall in mid-September, and the decline will not be large. The ex-factory price will remain at around 3,000 yuan/ton.

On September 12th, the PX Commodity Index was 84.00, which was the same as yesterday. It was 17.97% lower than the highest point of 102.40 points (2013-02-28) in the cycle, which was 84.41% higher than the lowest point of 45.55 on February 15, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date)

Recently, the domestic p-xylene market price fluctuated at a high level. The on-site installation of Pengzhou Petrochemical was overhauled. The Urumqi petrochemical plant started 50%. The Tenglong aromatics plant has been in operation. Other devices are temporarily operating stably, and the domestic p-xylene market is normal. The operating rate of PX devices in Asia is less than 70%. On September 12, the closing price of the paraxylene market in Asia increased by USD 24/ton, and the closing price was USD 1317-1319/ton FOB Korea and USD 1337-1339/ton CFR China, USA WTI crude oil futures market price rose in October, reported 70.37 US dollars / barrel, an increase of 1.12 US dollars, Brent crude oil futures prices rose, reported 79.74 US dollars / barrel, or 0.68 US dollars, upstream raw material prices rose slightly, the recent textile industry The market trend is general, and the PX market price fluctuates. The downstream PTA market was affected by the delay in resumption of production, and the PTA supply was slightly tight or continued. By the 12th, the domestic PTA operating rate was around 78.58%, the PTA price remained high, and the average price in East China was 9300-9350. /Ton the vicinity of the self-lifting, coupled with the downstream production and sales maintained relatively high level of smooth operation, PTA is still in a balanced small de-stocking state, it is expected that the PX market price will remain high in the later period.

Rubber processing aids give rubber products excellent performance in extreme weather conditions. The terminal applications of rubber processing aids are divided into two areas: tires and non-tire rubber. The former is mainly for the production of high-performance and durable automobile tires. The latter mainly involves wire and cable, electrical and electronic products, industrial products and modified polymerization. Production of things, etc. The rapid growth in the consumption of tires and non-tire products has greatly boosted the market demand for such products.

The development of the tire and automotive industries directly affects the rubber processing aid market. The growth of the rubber processing aid market is heavily dependent on the tire industry. Demand for green, high-performance and energy-efficient tires is growing rapidly in emerging market countries and is driving the development of the rubber processing auxiliaries market. The diversified applications in the medical, aerospace, electrical, electronics and construction industries are also expected to further expand the demand for such products.

The Asia Pacific region dominates the global rubber processing auxiliaries market, accounting for 47.2% of total global sales in 2015. This is mainly due to the high demand from the two major countries of China and India for the automotive industry and the construction industry. As China is accelerating industrialization, it has become a leader in the production and consumption of rubber processing aids. It is estimated that the market value of China’s rubber processing additives in 2015 was 1.18 billion US dollars. With the increasing awareness of safety protection in countries around the world and the rising demand for flame retardant rubber products, flame retardants will achieve rapid growth during the forecast period.

On September 10th, international copper prices fell in early trading on Monday after US President Trump threatened to impose import tariffs on goods imported from China. The trade war escalation worries caused investors to worry about limited metal demand.

According to a report by Bloomberg on September 7 in London, Saudi Arabia’s oil exports to the United States have increased significantly, marking the pressure on OPEC’s major oil producers to respond to US President Trump’s cooling of the energy market.

Although export growth began earlier this year, in the past three months, Trump has accelerated its export growth after repeated private diplomacy and public tweets to ask Saudi Arabia to increase production to control energy prices.

According to government data, last week Saudi Arabia’s shipments to the US oil reached the four-week average of 1 million barrels per day since the end of 2017, an increase of about 250,000 barrels per day since the end of May.

After OPEC and allies including Russia agreed to increase production in June, Saudi Arabia’s export growth to the United States is almost equivalent to nearly half of the country’s total output growth since the end of May.