PVC market price fell slightly on October 29

I. price trend

 

According to the data monitored by the business association (average ex factory price of SG5 by calcium carbide method), the price of domestic PVC on October 29 was 6637.5 yuan / ton, down 0.26% compared with the price of domestic PVC on the previous day (28), up 0.49%%.

 

II. Market analysis

 

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Products: PVC futures fluctuated on the 29th due to the triple accident in Inner Mongolia. The spot market is stable as a whole, and the quotations of individual enterprises fluctuate slightly. At present, the social inventory is at a low level, the procurement enthusiasm of downstream products industry is general, the maintenance just needs replenishment, and some businesses have obvious emotions of price reduction and shipment. Near the end of the month, the sales pressure increases, the supply side is good and hard to support the market, and the market transaction center moves down. At present, PVC (5-type calcium carbide interval: 6620-6670 yuan / ton, 5-type mainstream quotation: 6700-6800 yuan / ton, 5-type calcium carbide method: 6050-6120 yuan / ton, 6470-6550 yuan / ton). According to the data monitoring of business agency, as of October 29, the main quotation range of domestic PVC is about 6410-6750 yuan / ton.

 

Industrial chain: the ex factory price of Northwest carbide was temporarily stable on 29th. The price of raw material coke is low and the cost of carbide is generally supported. The downstream products enterprises are generally acceptable, the starting load of hard products is not high, the soft products and high-end medical supplies industries are generally started, the overall market demand has not been significantly improved, and the confidence in the field is insufficient.

 

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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, on October 28, 2019, there was a total of one kind of commodities in the list of commodity price rise and fall, with PET (0.18%) rising. There are 5 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and the top 3 products falling were natural rubber (- 1.43%), PC (- 1.41%) and PS (- 0.61%). The average price of this day is – 0.25%.

 

III. future forecast

 

PVC analysts of the business club think that: at present, some upstream production enterprises of PVC are overhauled, and the supply side is good for support, but the overall demand of the downstream is limited, and the users purchase on demand, and the confidence in the field is insufficient. PVC market is expected to consolidate in the short term.

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