1、 Price trend
According to the data monitoring of the business agency, up to May 9, the domestic phosphorus ore market has been in stable operation. Based on several sample areas, the reference price of the primary and high-end 30% grade phosphorus ore mainstream areas is around 320-410 yuan / ton.
| sulphamic acid |
2、 Market analysis
Product: more than a week has passed since May, the phosphorus ore market is still stable and mainly consolidated, and the overall market is weak. Influenced by factors such as transportation and environment this year, according to national data, the output of phosphorus ore (including p2o530%) in March was 5.454 million tons, down – 32.6% year on year from the same period last year (8.092 million tons). At present, the cumulative output of phosphate rock in this year is 13.37 million tons, down – 36.4% compared with the same period last year (21.029 million tons).
At present, in Hubei Province, the phosphorus ore market has basically recovered, and large-scale mining enterprises have resumed their external sales. However, the current market demand is general, and the sales of enterprises are under pressure. At present, 28% of the original ore shipboard prices in Hubei Province are close to 370 yuan / ton, and the transaction price of new orders is slightly down 20-30 yuan / ton, so there is room for negotiation. The annual production capacity of Liushugou mining mine in Hubei Province is 1 million tons, and the normal production of the enterprise. The current price reference: the quotation of 28 grade phosphate ore ship plate is 360 yuan / ton, and that of 30 grade phosphate ore is 400 yuan / ton, about 30 yuan / ton lower than before. Sichuan area: at present, the starting load of mining enterprises is not high, partial supply is still tight, and the quotation of enterprises is temporarily stable. At present, the delivery price of 25% raw ore in Mabian county is around 190 yuan / ton, and that of 30% phosphate concentrate is around 340 yuan / ton. At present, the delivery price (including tax) of Mabian county is 195 yuan / ton. The annual production capacity of the enterprise is about 700000 tons. Guizhou area: the phosphate ore market is dominated by stable consolidation, 30% of the phosphate ore car plate is quoted at 320-330 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction volume is slightly lower. The phosphate mine of Xifeng Phosphate Mine in Guizhou Province has resumed mining. At present, the price of 30 grade car plate for phosphate ore is 330 yuan / ton, and the output is expected to be about 300000 tons this year. Yunnan area: the market of phosphorus ore is stable and the price is stable. At present, the price of 28% grade phosphorus ore is 275 yuan / ton, which is mainly for old customers.
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Industry chain: since May, the overall trend of the domestic yellow phosphorus market has been temporarily stable, and the market quotation range is relatively small. Among them, the enterprises with short supply of goods have a slight trend of strong price, but there are not many new orders in the market as a whole. The downstream purchases are mainly on demand, and the market wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. At present, the reference price of Yunnan market is 17300-17500 yuan / ton.
3、 Future forecast
According to the analysis of the data division of the business association, the overall trading atmosphere of the phosphorus ore market is generally at present, the downstream is limited by the support of raw materials, the downstream plant has a lot of stability, and the output is not stable, so it is expected that the phosphorus ore market will still be sorted and operated in the short term.
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