The price dropped and yellow phosphorus enquiries increased this week (8.5-8.12)

1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan and Guizhou decreased. The average price of yellow phosphorus was 26666.67 yuan / ton last Thursday and 24666.67 yuan / ton this Thursday. The price decreased by 7.5% during the week.

2、 Market analysis

The price of yellow phosphorus decreased this week, the atmosphere in the venue was more active than last week, and inquiries increased. Up to now, the mainstream quotation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 24000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation in Sichuan is about 25000-26000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation in Guizhou is about 24000-25000 yuan / ton. This week, the downstream enterprises of yellow phosphorus gradually resumed production and purchased a small amount. At present, the transaction of new orders is general, and the enterprise owner mainly sends early orders.

In terms of raw materials, the current phosphorus ore market is running at a high level. Up to now, according to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, the 30% low-grade phosphate rock truck price is near 550 yuan / ton. The market atmosphere is good and the spot supply is tight. Most enterprises suspend quotation, and most orders are mainly in the early stage of delivery.

In terms of coke, the market price of coke in Shandong and Hong Kong increased slightly today. At present, the mainstream spot exchange delivery price of quasi primary metallurgical coke in the port area is about 2970 yuan / ton, and the price of primary coke is 3070 yuan / ton, up 20 yuan / ton compared with the price the day before yesterday. The inventory in the two ports continues to be low, the current mentality of traders is good, the trading atmosphere is good, and the overall market is mainly wait-and-see. As of August 12, the market price of Panzhihua coke (secondary metallurgical coke) was 2950 yuan / ton.

In terms of downstream phosphoric acid, according to commodity data monitoring, the average price of phosphoric acid is 6816.67 yuan / ton. This week, the phosphoric acid market is stable and small, but the wait-and-see mood remains unchanged. It is expected that the phosphoric acid market may fall with the decline of raw materials in the short term, and the market is stable and weak.

3、 Future forecast

The yellow phosphorus analyst of the chemical branch of the business agency believes that the yellow phosphorus market price fell this week and the trading atmosphere on the floor was better. At present, the supply of goods in the yard is still relatively tight. In addition, the high-level consolidation of upstream phosphate rock can support it. It is expected that the market price of yellow phosphorus will be stabilized temporarily in the short term.

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