1、 Price trend
According to the bulk data list of business society, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid on September 16 was 11400 yuan / ton, an increase of 2700 yuan compared with the price of 8700 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, an increase of 31.03% during the week and 136.68% compared with the same period last year.
2、 Market analysis
The phosphoric acid market continued to rise this week, with an increase of more than 30% within the week, and the price quickly rose to a high level. It is reported that the voltage load of raw yellow phosphorus enterprises is limited, the production capacity is reduced, and the spot tension is intensified. In addition, the relevant notice on energy consumption dual control issued by the national development and Reform Commission recently has boosted the price of raw yellow phosphorus, which has soared, and the highest price has reached 60000 yuan / ton, and one product is difficult to find. The phosphoric acid market is closely followed by the rise due to the strong support of cost. One price a day, and now the quotation of enterprises is basically more than 10000 yuan, The highest price is 18000 yuan / ton, rising to a new height, and the industry has a strong bullish mentality. At present, raw material goods are tight and the price is high, so that phosphoric acid manufacturers have to reduce production and stop production. The tight supply situation in the field continues. Phosphoric acid enterprises suspend quotation more. Watch the price trend of raw materials and hear about the purchase and sale or the need for auction. We can think of the tight supply. Therefore, the short-term phosphoric acid price is easy to rise but difficult to fall. According to the monitoring of the business community, the quotation in Jiangsu is 18000 yuan / ton, that in Hubei is 15000 yuan / ton, that in Guangzhou is about 14000 yuan / ton, that in Sichuan is 10900-18000 yuan / ton, that in Beijing is 9000 yuan / ton, and that in Fujian is 10800 yuan / ton. The price of phosphoric acid in various places has increased significantly.
Yellow phosphorus, the market price of yellow phosphorus rose this week, yellow phosphorus enterprises limited voltage load, reduced production capacity and intensified spot tension. The price of upstream phosphorus ore and coke increased, and the price of downstream phosphoric acid increased all the way. The downstream began to purchase yellow phosphorus at a high price. The acceptance of high price yellow phosphorus was high. On the whole, the market confidence was good and the upstream and downstream support was strong. It is expected that the market price of yellow phosphorus will continue to rise in the short term.
For phosphate rock, on September 16, the reference price of phosphate rock was 643.33, up 10.92% compared with September 1 (580.00). This year, the market demand for ammonium phosphate continued to improve, giving some support to the demand for phosphate rock. The supply of phosphate rock is still tight in the short term. Therefore, the phosphate rock analysts of business society believe that China’s phosphate rock market will mainly focus on high-level consolidation in the short term.
Ammonium phosphate, the current market situation of Monoammonium is poor. Although the support of raw materials is good, the terminal demand is weak and there is still inventory. The price of monoammonium phosphate is expected to operate weakly and stably in the short term. At present, the external demand for diammonium is acceptable and the domestic market is weak. It is expected that diammonium phosphate will mainly operate stably in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
According to the phosphoric acid analyst of the chemical branch of business society, the raw material price is high at present, the phosphoric acid enterprises have low operation due to the cost, the inventory is not under pressure, and the tight supply situation is difficult to recover in the short term. It is expected that the phosphoric acid price is still the main actor above, and we need to pay close attention to the trend of raw material price.
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