The domestic cyclohexanone market rose in December. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average market price of domestic cyclohexanone at the beginning of the month was 9733 yuan / ton, and the average market price of domestic cyclohexanone at the end of the month was 10700 yuan / ton, an increase of 9.93% in the month and 55.07% year-on-year.
At the beginning of June, the domestic cyclohexanone market rebounded after rising. Pure benzene was lowered and listed twice, totaling 550 yuan / ton, and the cost side was lack of support. Some enterprises have reduced the production of cyclohexanone units and do not export them. The market commodity volume is less than that in the early stage. The downstream caprolactam supply is abundant, and the chemical fiber order just needs to be followed up. After the low transaction of cyclohexanone, the shipping pressure was reduced and the manufacturers rose in a narrow range.
In the middle of the month, the domestic cyclohexanone market continued to rise. Crude oil and pure benzene are improving, and the cost support is temporarily stable. Hualu Hengsheng, Haili and other devices are not exported, and the commodity supply is significantly reduced. In addition, some downstream enterprises focus on a small amount of cyclohexanone, the shipping pressure of cyclohexanone factories is reduced, and the manufacturers rise in a narrow range.
In late June, the domestic cyclohexanone market continued to rise. There were few cyclohexanone export devices and the market competition was relatively small. In addition, some downstream enterprises just needed to export cyclohexanone, cyclohexanone was reluctant to sell at a low price, and the transaction focus increased.
At the end of the month, the domestic cyclohexanone market continued to rise, the raw material pure benzene fluctuated horizontally, and the cost support was relatively stable. The downstream chemical fiber is purchased intensively, the pressure of cyclohexanone shipment is slightly reduced, the manufacturer’s quotation is explored in a narrow range, the solvent market just needs to follow up, and the downstream resistance to high prices limits the room for cyclohexanone to rise.
Monthly K column chart of domestic production price of cyclohexanone:
Weekly K column chart of domestic production price of cyclohexanone:
Summary of domestic cyclohexanone market as of December 30:
region ., Price
East China 11200-11400 yuan / ton cash delivery
South China 11500-11600 yuan / ton cash delivery
Shandong region 11100-11200 yuan / ton cash delivery
In terms of raw materials, styrene crude oil fell sharply this month, driving the decline of pure benzene. Crude oil and styrene in the main downstream fell broadly, which stimulated the negative impact on pure benzene. The decline of styrene price, the decrease of downstream demand and the increase of spot and forward supply of pure benzene are the main factors driving the decline of pure benzene price.
Comparison chart of price trend of pure benzene (upstream raw material) and cyclohexanone in business society:
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Downstream, caprolactam showed an overall downward trend. The price at the beginning of the month was 14700 yuan / ton, and the price at the end of the month was 14034 yuan / ton, a decrease of 4.53% in the month.
Comparison chart of price trend of cyclohexanone and caprolactam (downstream products) in business community:
According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the list of commodity prices in December 2021, there were 35 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the chemical sector, including 19 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 18.1% of the monitored commodities in the sector; The top three commodities were chloroform (41.13%), lithium carbonate (37.11%) and dichloromethane (36.91%). A total of 62 commodities decreased month on month, and 40 commodities decreased by more than 5%, accounting for 38.1% of the monitored commodities in this sector; The products with the top three declines were melamine (- 40.08%), baking soda (- 29.05%) and butadiene (- 27.26%). The average rise and fall this month was – 2.38%.
The cost side support is stable, there is no obvious pressure on the supply side of cyclohexanone, and there is still demand for outward mining of downstream chemical fiber. It is expected that cyclohexanone will fluctuate strongly in the first half of the month, and the second half of the month will be close to the Spring Festival, the market transaction may weaken, and the price will be sorted out sideways. The cyclohexanone analysts of business society expect the short-term cyclohexanone market to fluctuate in a narrow range.
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