According to the data monitoring of business agency, the polyacrylamide commodity index on June 10 was 97.15, unchanged from yesterday, down 12.88% from the highest point of 111.51 in the cycle (2021-11-03), and up 17.20% from the lowest point of 82.89 on August 2, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from April 1, 2019 to now)
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Commodity prices: according to the data monitoring of the business agency, the mainstream quotation of polyacrylamide (CPAM, cationic, molecular weight 12million, 10-30 ionic degree) in the domestic market in that week (June 6-10) was stable at about 15900 yuan / ton. The manufacturer’s production is normal and the market inventory is sufficient; The downstream demand is general, and the enterprise has great shipping pressure.
Industry chain: according to the data of business news agency, the mainstream market of upstream raw material acrylonitrile fell from about 11380 yuan / ton to 11240 yuan / ton in the week from June 6 to 10. The supply side of domestic acrylonitrile industry was still loose, and the market quotation was downward; The average price of raw acrylic acid in East China was stable at about 14600 yuan / ton in the current week. Recently, the raw propylene market is weak, the cost support is general, some early maintenance devices on the supply side have been opened one after another, the operating rate has increased, the terminal demand has slowly recovered, the downstream inquiry and procurement are just needed, the demand side is generally followed up, and the market atmosphere is flat. It is expected that the acrylic acid market will be stable, weak and wait-and-see in the short term.
Liquefied natural gas is used in the production process. According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average price of domestic LNG on June 9 was 6326 yuan / ton, down 3.48% from the price of 6554 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and up 75.72% compared with the same period last year. Since June, the domestic LNG market price has declined by 3.48% in the cycle, and the market is weak. After the Dragon Boat Festival, with the recovery of logistics, there is a certain demand for replenishment in the downstream. The liquid price in some regions is tentatively raised. There is still a downward trend in many places. The market is mixed, and the overall situation is still weak. According to the business news agency, the domestic liquid market has been weak recently, the price of feed gas has been lowered, and the flexibility of liquid plant price adjustment has been increased. It is expected that it will continue to decline in the short term.
Future forecast: the raw material cost is weak, the downstream demand is general, the market spot inventory is sufficient, and the transaction is not easy. It is expected that the polyacrylamide market will remain stable in the future, supplemented by small adjustments.
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