after the Spring Festival, the domestic demand slow recovery, mainland methanol prices decline, while port prices rising again, external disk differences increase. As of yesterday, the east port of methanol prices in 3200 – 3300 yuan / ton, the price of methanol in Northwest 2230 – 2250 yuan / ton, price continues to rise, in 970 – 1050 yuan / ton.
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Downstream of the slow recovery of light spot transactions
After the Spring Festival, the lower than expected recovery, Shandong Nanyang 300 thousand tons / year, Shandong MiTAC coal Hengtong chemical 330 thousand tons / year of two sets of olefin plant maintenance exacerbated the contradiction between supply and demand of the mainland. In addition, the downstream demand in northern Shandong and Hebei picked up speed is relatively slow.
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On the freight, before the Spring Festival, northwest to Shandong freight rose to 450 yuan / ton. As of yesterday, has dropped to 350 yuan / ton. The freight decline is also reflected from the side light trading market. At present, the downstream demand pick-up, traders shipping is generally poor.
Before the Spring Festival, methanol production capacity more than 4 million tons / year to restart the northwest. In this process, the downstream demand has not improved. Some manufacturers of inventory can not be effectively released, is the main reason for the weak price of methanol in Northwest china. Count the freight profits, northwest methanol prices actually fell 150 yuan / ton.
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The domestic market, in addition to Henan, Hunan, Hubei and other smaller market demand returns to normal, the rest of the market is the actual consumption of methanol is less than expected. Two sets of MTO plant of Zhejiang Xing Xing 600 thousand tons and 800 thousand tons / year of Jiangsu sailboat is still in a state of repair, so that the coastal port of methanol compared to before the Spring Festival inventory increased 130 thousand tons to 750 thousand tons.
The supply is not stable, the international market prices
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During the Spring Festival, because of the Rhine river resulted in lower transport disruption, the European market of methanol reduced supply, prices sharply higher, and thus promote the American market prices, the main port of CFR is China prices before the Spring Festival to raise $18 / ton, to 360 U.S. dollars / ton. At present, although the downstream demand recovery is expected, but did not stop the import port, part about normal goods arrived, imported methanol cost has been close to RMB 3100 yuan / ton, which is the main reason for rising prices is the port of methanol, methanol futures overall stronger main reason.
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Recently, the Middle East region turns the device maintenance, domestic and foreign are glued to MTO plant operation expected demand for methanol, offer high.
The differences i
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ncrease, domestic imports may decline