1、 Price trend

According to the data of the business agency, as of July 27, the average price of maleic anhydride with benzene hydrogenation method was 6600 yuan / ton (including tax), and the overall market was stable and upward, with an increase of 2.06% compared with the average price of 6466 yuan / ton in the same period of last month.

On July 26, the commodity index of maleic anhydride was 60.60, which was the same as yesterday, decreased by 51.00% from the highest point of 123.67 (December 26, 2017), and increased by 18.41% from the lowest point of 51.18 on April 14, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-09-01 to now).

2、 Analysis of influencing factors

Products: affected by tight supply, the price of maleic anhydride in the main production areas continued to rise, while other regions followed. Some enterprises were reluctant to sell solid anhydride, which led to the aggravation of supply tension in the industry, the purchasing sentiment in the downstream market rebounded, and the price support for maleic anhydride was fair.

Industrial chain: the hydrobenzene market is affected by the replenishment of traders, and the price has stopped falling and stabilized. However, in the long run, the price of raw materials continues to fall, which does not support the price of hydrobenzene, and the downstream market just needs to be flat; the downstream unsaturated resin market is in a horizontal direction, with strong market wait-and-see sentiment, and with maleic anhydride, the cost pressure is becoming increasingly obvious.

3、 Future forecast

According to the analysts of maleic anhydride products of the business agency, the current maleic anhydride market continues to rise due to the tight supply. It is difficult to effectively make up the supply gap in the short term, and the seller has a good intention of supporting prices. It is expected that the maleic anhydride price will be firm in the short term

1、 Price trend

According to the business club’s large list data, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 1900 yuan / ton on July 20, and 1900 yuan / ton on July 24, maintaining a stable price.

According to the business club’s large list data, on July 20, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2185 yuan / ton, and on July 24, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2185 yuan / ton, and the price remained stable.

2、 Market analysis

The market of monoammonium phosphate is stable this week, and the operating rate of enterprises is about 78%. In Anhui Province, 55% powdered ammonium was quoted at 1900-1950 yuan / T, and the start-up was stable. In Hubei Province, the ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium is about 1850-1950 yuan / ton, and that of 60% powdered ammonium is 2000-2100 yuan / ton. The stable operation of Henan market, 55% ammonium powder factory quotation of 1900 yuan / ton, stable start-up. The price of 55% powdered ammonium in Shandong Province is 1850-1950 yuan / ton, and the price is stable. The factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Sichuan is about 1950 yuan / ton.

Diammonium phosphate market stable this week, the enterprise operating rate of about 50%. At present, the mainstream factory quotation of 64% diammonium in Hubei Province is 2150-2250 yuan / ton, that in Shandong Province is 2200-2250 yuan / ton, that in Yunnan Guizhou area is 2300-2450 yuan / ton, and that in Anhui Province is 2200-2350 yuan / ton. In Gansu Province, 64% DAP mainstream factory quotation is 2250-2350 yuan / ton. The quotation of 64% diammonium at the first arrival station in Heilongjiang Province is about 2400 yuan / ton.

This week, the raw material phosphate rock market is still weak and stable operation. Before the demand is not improved in time, it is expected that the phosphate rock market will change significantly. Under the stable consolidation operation, some regions may still adjust the price slightly to prepare for the accumulated orders. The price of raw material sulfur was stable this week. The reference price of sulfur on July 24 was 623.33 yuan / ton, which was 4.59% lower than that on July 1. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream compound fertilizer is not high.

3、 Future forecast

Ammonium phosphate analysts believe that the price of ammonium raw materials is stable on Monday, and the cost has no good information. There is no improvement in the downstream demand and the follow-up of new orders is insufficient. The domestic market of diammonium is not good, and the international market shows signs of improvement. It is expected that the market of ammonium phosphate will run smoothly in the later period, and it is suggested to pay attention to the change of downstream demand.

1、 Price trend chart of nitric acid Market

Nitric acid price curve

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the average price of nitric acid in East China on July 22 was 1533 yuan / ton. Last week, the average price of nitric acid was 1450 yuan / ton, up 5.75%.

2、 Market analysis

The price of concentrated nitric acid in some areas has been raised. Jiangsu Hongze Yinzhu Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 1500 yuan / ton of concentrated nitric acid, which was 200 yuan / ton higher than last time; Anhui Jinhe quoted 1350-1400 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week; Shandong helitai Chemical Co., Ltd. offered 1750 yuan / ton, with an increase of 50 yuan / ton; Huainan Aodeli chemical products Sales Co., Ltd. offered 1350 yuan / ton of concentrated nitric acid, which was higher than last time The price of concentrated nitric acid was increased by 20 yuan / ton last time; the ex factory price of concentrated nitric acid was 1580 yuan / ton, which was the same as that of last time; some manufacturers shut down, the supply of nitric acid products was tight, and the market of nitric acid was fair, which supported the price increase of nitric acid.

According to the monitoring of the business agency, at the beginning of the week, the domestic liquid ammonia market remained stable in most regions, the prices in some regions fell slightly, the prices in Shandong, the main production areas, remained at the level of last week. In Shandong Province, the liquid ammonia dropped by 50 yuan / ton on the 20th, and the mainstream market quotation was 2700-2800 yuan / ton; downstream aniline: the aniline price this week (7.13-7.17) remained stable compared with last week, on July 17, the aniline price in Shandong was 4200-4280 yuan / T, and that in East China was 4200-4300 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

The price of upstream raw material liquid ammonia fell slightly in some areas, and nitric acid analysts of business club predicted that the rising space of nitric acid might be limited.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the average ex factory price of chlorinated paraffin 52 in China on July 13 was 4800 yuan / ton, and that on July 17 was 4766 yuan / ton. The price fell by 0.69% this week. .

2、 Market analysis

Chlorinated paraffin fell slightly this week. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Jiangsu Province is 4600-5200 yuan / ton, that in Hebei Province is 4000-4800 yuan / ton, and that in Henan Province is 4200-5300 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4400-5400 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4900 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 4500-5400 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4200-5000 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4500-5000 yuan / ton.

The raw material market is stable this week. The main price of liquid wax is 5700-6100 yuan / ton, stable shipment. The price of raw material liquid chlorine is firm and stable, and the transaction is good. In the short term, the raw material market is mainly stable. The downstream demand for chlorinated paraffin is less.

3、 Future forecast

Chlorinated paraffin analysts of business club believe that the current market of chlorinated paraffin is stable with cost support, but the downstream demand for chlorinated paraffin is weak and the order is poor. It is expected that the market of chlorinated paraffin will maintain stable operation in the short term.

1、 Price trend

This week, the factory price of urea in Shandong Province rose slightly, and the quoted price rose from 1650.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 1656.67 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 0.4%, 14.01% lower than the same period last year. Overall, the urea market rose slightly this week, and the urea commodity index on July 17 was 77.05.

2、 Market analysis

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the mainstream urea factory price in Shandong this week rose slightly. At the end of this week, the price of urea in Yangmei plain was 1640 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; the quotation of Shandong Ruixing urea was 1650 yuan / ton at the end of this week, which was 20 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; the price of open water urea was 1680 yuan / ton at the end of this week, which was temporarily stable compared with that before maintenance.

From the perspective of market demand, there is more rain in southern China recently, which has a great impact on transportation and agricultural demand. At the same time, agricultural demand in North China and central China is gradually ending. In terms of industrial demand, the downstream compound fertilizer and plate enterprises are affected by air pollution control, and the starting load is low, and the purchase of new orders slows down. In terms of supply: the early production reduction and maintenance devices have been restored, and the spot supply has increased slightly. International: on the evening of July 17, the lowest price is 240.5 US dollars / ton CFR on the east coast and 242.5 dollars / ton CFR on the west coast. The price is not satisfactory and there is a certain gap with the domestic price level.

From the perspective of upstream and downstream industry chain, the upstream products of urea fell slightly this week: the price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) dropped slightly, from 2470.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2463.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 0.27%, 23.02% year-on-year compared with the same period last year; the price of liquid ammonia was temporarily stable this week, with the quotation of 3100.00 yuan / ton, down 6.16% year-on-year compared with the same period last year The cost support is weak. This week, the quotation of melamine downstream of urea was temporarily stable, with a price of 5066.67 yuan / ton. The downstream rubber sheet factory had a general enthusiasm for urea procurement, which had a negative impact on the urea price.

3、 Future forecast

In the last ten days of July, the market price of urea in Shandong was mainly fluctuated. Urea analysts from the business club believe that the current agricultural demand is low, the downstream industry is generally enthusiastic about urea procurement, and the printing label is not ideal. It is expected that the short-term urea market will mainly fluctuate and fall.