Price Trend

According to the data of business associations, the domestic dry-process aluminium fluoride fell in May. At the beginning of the month, the average market price was 9,500 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, it was 9,300 yuan/ton. The price was reduced by 1.75%.

II. Market Analysis

In May, the price of aluminium fluoride dropped: at present, the price of aluminium fluoride in Henan is between 9000 and 9200 yuan/ton, while that in Shandong is between 9000 and 9200 yuan/ton. Zhengzhou Tianrui Grain Technology Co., Ltd. quoted 9500 yuan per ton of aluminium fluoride, Shandong Luzeng Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 10500 yuan per ton of aluminium fluoride, Zhengzhou Zerun Energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 9000 yuan per ton of aluminium fluoride.

Industry Chain: Hydrofluoric acid prices have risen slightly for four consecutive weeks this month. Enterprises reflect that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on-site is tight. Recently, the situation of on-site purchases has improved. Some enterprises have a low start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plants and a small rise in ex-factory prices. Recently, the start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plants is general, and the supply of hydrofluoric acid plants is tight. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in southern China is 11,000-11,500 yuan./ The price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market ranges from 11,000 to 12,000 yuan per ton. However, in May, the price of downstream product Aluminum fluoride fell sharply, rising only a week, and the current market price of Aluminum fluoride fell to 9,000 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

Analysts of Aluminum Fluoride Industry in Business, Social and Chemical Branch believe that the price of hydrofluoric acid in the upstream has been rising slightly continuously, and the current intentions of manufacturers in the Aluminum Fluoride market are obvious, so the price of Aluminum Fluoride will rise steadily in June.

Price trends:

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the trend of caustic soda is stable temporarily, and the average price in Shandong market is about 705 yuan/ton as of May 28. On May 27, the caustic soda commodity index was 101.44, which was the same as yesterday. It was 50.96% lower than the peak of 206.87 points in the cycle (2017-11-14), and 38.45% higher than the low of 73.27 points on March 29, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

II. Market Analysis

Products: Caustic soda price is mainly stable temporarily. The performance of caustic soda in Shandong is weak and stable. The mainstream quotation of 32% caustic soda in Shandong is 650-740 yuan/ton. The market performance is flat. The quotation of traders is stable and the transaction is general. It is expected that the price of caustic soda will be more stable in the later period. The mainstream quotation of 32% ionic membrane caustic soda market in Hebei is about 660-810 yuan/ton. The price of caustic soda has not been adjusted for the time being, and the downstream transaction is general. Main: The price of caustic soda in Jiangsu is stable. The mainstream price of 32% ionic membrane caustic soda market is 780-800 yuan/ton. The market demand is general and the supply is relatively stable. The operators are mainly on the wait-and-see attitude. They are expected to operate more stably in the later period. In some enterprises, the supply has been reduced to a certain extent, which has played a positive role in the market, but the demand side is not good, and the overall market is difficult to rise.

Business analysts believe that the domestic caustic soda market is calm. In the aspect of liquid alkali, due to the increase of overhaul, a small number of manufacturers raised their quotations, while other manufacturers remained stable. The market performance is flat, the quotation of traders is stable and the turnover is general. Short-term market price or stable operation is the main, specifically looking at the downstream market demand.

On May 26, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 103.51, which was the same as yesterday. It was 12.59% lower than the cyclical peak of 118.42 points (2019-01-15), and 33.79% higher than the lowest point of 77.37 on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shuts down more, domestic ammonium nitrate plant starts less, but with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappears. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles, and the price trend in the field declines. As of the 27th, domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2050 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance for environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is temporarily stable.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, as of 27 days, the market price is 1666.673 yuan/ton. The rising trend of nitric acid price has a positive impact on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia is declining. As of 27 days, the price quoted by manufacturers in the northern region is maintained in the range of 3000-3500 yuan/ton, while that in the northwest region is in the range of 2800-3000 yuan/ton and upstream. The decline of raw material price has a negative impact on ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level because of the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to remain low in the latter part of the shocks.

First, the price trend:

Second, the market analysis: Domestic market: Crude benzene market offer rose slightly this week in east China this week’s tender prices rose by about 10 yuan/ton, most manufacturers prices stable. Market supply, the recent coking enterprise construction rate, Shanxi Shaanxi is affected by environmental protection overall in about 70%, Shandong region slightly higher in about 80%, Hebei region by air quality impact slightly lower in 60%. As of Friday, Shandong region processing crude benzene quotation stable quotation range in 3250 yuan/ton, Shanxi region processing with crude benzene price stable in 3100-3150 yuan/ton. Inner Mongolia area processing with crude benzene quotation stable quotation in 3000 yuan/ton.

Downstream hydrogenated benzene enterprises in the recent construction rate, although gradually restored, but still to digest inventory mainly, crude benzene procurement enthusiasm in general, difficult to form support for the market. Industrial chain: Crude oil: Oil prices overall high volatility this week, closing oil prices fell sharply in Thursday. Pure benzene aspect: The message surface is basically smooth, to the spot market cost support is strong, the market low price resources are difficult to find, the merchant’s willingness to price is strong. Although the port stock has been lower, but the overall range is not small, the market influence is low. Constant force start load will gradually improve, downstream plant inventory is high, the willingness to take goods is low, the overall atmosphere is light. Although domestic inventory has a small drop, but the overall stock volume is still at a high of 23.24 million tons. Hydrocracking: This week, the market price of hydrogenated benzene is more stable, as of Friday, Shandong region, the mainstream quotation range of the hydrogenation market in 4150-4200 yuan/ton, the same as last week, the East China hydrogenated benzene market mainstream quotation range of 4350-4450 yuan/ton, compared to last week cut 50 yuan/ton. This week, hydrocracking Enterprises began to gradually resume, Shandong region Enterprises basically resumed construction, only Shandong Holy Transport and Shandong Jade Emperor device parking, another Shandong Jin energy 100,000/ton device started in about 75%, the basic return to normal production, Hebei region most devices resumed driving.

The overall market supply is more normal, trading stability.

Third, the trend forecast: Recently, Sinopec pure benzene listing price has not been raised news. Crude benzene long-term low operation, downstream and traders still have a large inventory in hand, the recent replenishment plan is less, coke Enterprise is more pressure to go, and the terminal market maintenance is increased, pure benzene market consumption is limited, the market mentality is still empty, short-term market material is difficult to significantly rebound.

First, the price trend

According to business price monitoring, as of May 23, the domestic aggregate MDI market average price reported 14500 yuan/ton, the overall market decline remains.

Second, the market analysis Products: Domestic polymerization MDI market continues to be weak, difficult to have a positive impact, the field mentality in general. Shippers at this stage of the shipment of positive, but the overall transaction arrears, afraid of the aftermarket continued to fall into the market, it is difficult to digest pessimism. Considering that downstream demand is difficult to follow up, demand is limited and the transaction atmosphere is extremely poor. It is expected that the aggregate MDI market in the short term will continue to weaken without positive conditions. Approaching the end of the month wait and see manufacturers Crescent listed Price dynamics.

As manufacturers ‘ installations gradually recover, the overall market trend in June is not optimistic, and low shocks may be the norm. On the market side, north China and Shandong polymerization MDI market weak finishing. There is no obvious change in market fundamentals, downstream just need to purchase cautious, middlemen more stable prices to negotiate shipments, the market has a low price to hear. East China polymerization MDI market weak finishing. There is no obvious change in market fundamentals, downstream on-demand procurement prudence, market real Trading Limited, individual operators under pressure to negotiate shipments, the market has a low price to hear. South China polymerization MDI market weak operation.

Downstream just need to continue to languish, market trading is weak, middlemen negotiate shipments. Industrial chain: raw materials, pure benzene: affected by the supply gap between the United States and Europe, the US dollar plate continues to operate strongly. But domestic commodities are weaker and market shocks are dominated. One of the spot talks in 4460-4530 yuan/ton, May under negotiations in 4490-4530 yuan/ton, June under negotiations in 4540-4600 yuan/ton, July under negotiations in 4560-4700 yuan/ton. Aniline: The aniline market is stable. Although downstream just need to take goods, but the market on the south and Lanzhou is still in the maintenance, other Aniline enterprises inventory is not high, there is no shipping pressure, price stability consolidation. East China Market Mainstream reference 5900-6000 yuan/ton acceptance.

North China market talks price reference in 5720-5870 yuan/ton.

Third, the forecast of the aftermarket Business community Point of view: Positive aspects, Shanghai Enterprise Maintenance is more concentrated, enterprise monthly listing firm. On the negative side, the latest price of Zhou pricing enterprises to implement 12500 yuan/ton, due to the weak terminal demand, the market is weak to promote, individual enterprises volume shipments, the industry mentality collapse, pressure shipments. Approaching the end of the month to wait for a strong mood, short-term stability is the best choice. With the advance overdraft of maintenance news and the gradual recovery of factory installations, June overall good collapse, low shock may be the norm, coupled with downstream demand shrinkage, the disadvantage is obvious. Business Society Polymerization MDI Analysts expect the short-term market to continue to be weak.