1、 Price trend
According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average price of domestic LNG on April 7 was 3426.67 yuan / ton, up 0.78% from the previous day, down 6.12% from the beginning of the month, and up 8.9% from the same period last year.
2、 Analysis of influencing factors
On April 7, liquid prices stopped falling and rose, or 0.78%. In April, the domestic liquefied natural gas market went down all the way. Due to the restriction of dangerous chemical vehicles on expressways, the shipment of dangerous chemical vehicles in many places was not good, and the price fell under pressure. The first working day after the festival fell by about 5%. On April 7, the price of liquefied natural gas stopped falling, and there was a strong atmosphere of price support in Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi and other places, The range is around 50-100 yuan / ton, with little increase. However, some areas continue to decline. As a whole, the market is mixed with rise and fall, with more rise and less fall. The market is adjusted in a narrow range according to its own shipment situation. With the end of heating period in northern China, the demand for heating is gradually decreasing, and the market is gradually entering the off-season. In addition, the continuous transfer of profits in the inlet air has impacted the domestic market. The pressure of liquid factory delivery is large, the inventory is high, the market is hard to find, and the market is weak, and the operation may continue.
On April 7, the domestic liquefied natural gas (LNG) stopped falling and rose, with mixed rises and falls in some areas. It is 3300-3600 yuan / ton in Inner Mongolia, 3460-3380 yuan / ton in Shaanxi, 3350-3600 yuan / ton in Shanxi, 3570-3680 yuan / ton in Ningxia, 3520-3700 yuan / ton in Henan and 3180-3450 yuan / ton in Hebei.
Date of quotation (yuan / ton)
Inner Mongolia LNG 3300-3600 April 7
Shaanxi Liquefied Natural Gas Co., Ltd. 3460-3380 April 7
Shanxi ﹣ liquefied natural gas ﹣ 3350-3600 ﹣ April 7
Ningxia LNG 3570-3680 April 7
Hebei LNG 3180-3450 April 7
Henan LNG 3520-3700 April 7
Downstream products are mixed:
On April 7, the ex factory quotation of methanol enterprises in Shandong Province was raised, and the negotiation price of methanol market in southern Shandong Province increased by 20 yuan / ton to 2300-2330 yuan / ton, with cash withdrawal from nearby plants. Linyi receives the local goods to negotiate the price to 2300 yuan / ton and deliver them to the spot exchange. The logistics goods offer 2240-2250 yuan / ton and deliver them to the spot exchange. The turnover of methanol market in central Shandong was stable at 2310-2320 yuan / ton, which was sent to cash. Shandong methanol Lubei market is stable at 2300-2320 yuan / ton to cash. Business community methanol analysts expect that the domestic methanol market in the short term consolidation.
For liquid ammonia, the current shortage of liquid ammonia supply may be alleviated in the near future. After the Qingming Festival, the news of plant start-up has been released. Large plants in Henan may resume production after the festival, and the plant in Chongqing will resume production in mid April. In addition, the delivery of goods in Northeast China has also increased. It is expected that the supply will increase slowly in the near future. Therefore, the price of liquid ammonia may reach the top at present.
On April 7, the urea market in Shandong Province was temporarily stable. In terms of demand, agricultural demand was mainly sporadic procurement; the starting load of downstream compound fertilizer and rubber sheet plants increased slightly, and most of them followed the market. Supply side: at present, the operating rate of urea enterprises is about 80%, with a slight increase, and the daily output is about 160000 tons. The start-up load of urea enterprises is increased and the supply side is sufficient.
Dichloromethane. On April 6, the reference price of dichloromethane was 3783.33, up 1.07% compared with that on April 1 (3743.33). At present, the domestic dichloromethane market is seeking a new balance point. On the one hand, the downstream is in conflict with the high price in the early stage. On the other hand, the cost side and demand side have different degrees of support for dichloromethane. On the whole, the market price in the later stage will continue to drop Until a balance is formed.
3、 Future forecast
Liquefied natural gas analysts of business news agency believe that: at present, the liquefied natural gas market is entering the off-season, the downstream demand is general, the trading volume turns weak, and the price drops to the bottom. Due to cost considerations, the liquid price in some areas stops falling and rises, but the range is not large. It is expected that the liquefied natural gas market will fluctuate at a low level and the price will fluctuate slightly in the short term.
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