According to the data monitoring of the business community, the polyaluminum chloride commodity index on October 31 was 108.72, unchanged from yesterday, down 23.78% from the peak of 142.64 points (2021-11-01) in the cycle, and up 28.94% from the lowest point of 84.32 points on August 18, 2020. (Note: Period refers to April 1, 2019 to now)
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Spot goods: According to the monitoring data of the business community, the domestic solid (industrial grade, content ≥ 28%) polyaluminum chloride market declined slightly in October. At the beginning of the month, the market mainly reported 2043 yuan/ton, and on the 31st, it mainly reported 2011.25 yuan/ton, with a monthly decline of about 1.56%. The water treatment manufacturers in Gongyi, Henan, stopped production for about 10 days from the 10th due to environmental protection policy requirements in the early stage of this month; In the last ten days of the year, the construction was resumed, and the inventory was sufficient.
Raw hydrochloric acid: According to the monitoring data of the business community, the domestic hydrochloric acid market rose from 166.67 yuan/ton to 186.67 yuan/ton in October. From the manufacturer’s quotation, the domestic hydrochloric acid market rose slightly this month, and the downstream demand was average. From the perspective of upstream and downstream industrial chains, the upstream liquid chlorine market rose slightly, giving hydrochloric acid some support; Downstream market declined slightly, and downstream manufacturers’ purchasing enthusiasm for hydrochloric acid weakened. According to the analysis, the recent market of hydrochloric acid may fluctuate slightly.
LNG for production. According to the data of the business community, the price of domestic LNG fell by about 18.93% this month: the market price of LNG on October 31 was about 5540 yuan/ton, and the average market price on the first day was 6834 yuan/ton. At the beginning of the month, due to the transportation obstruction, the demand for downstream replenishment turned weak in the middle of the month, and the upstream shipment pressure was high, so the market fell back. According to the analysis, the current intra market trading and investment are flat, the traffic is blocked under the control of the epidemic situation, and the market supply exceeds the demand. It is expected that domestic LNG prices will continue to fall mainly in the short term under the negative factors.
Future forecast: The economic environment is rosy, and the overall demand is not as good as that of previous years. The water treatment market in 2022 is also not as good as that in 2021. Although the raw material cost is well supported, the downstream demand is weak, the purchasing enthusiasm is not high, and the spot inventory is sufficient. In the future, under the expectation of economic downturn and the impact of public health events, the market is expected to continue to be slightly weak.
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