Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations, the price of potassium nitrate in China has been running weakly this week, and the overall price has not changed much, with a decline of 0.29%. As of June 14, China’s first-class industrial potassium nitrate quoted 4312 yuan per ton. This week, the market was mainly weak.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the domestic potassium nitrate Market Trading atmosphere is cold, the overall inventory is low, the start-up rate of manufacturers is low, the actual turnover is low, the downstream purchasing volume is low, a small amount of replenishment, it is expected that in the short term, the weak market of potassium nitrate is dominated by consolidation, domestic potassium nitrate mainstream manufacturers offer 4000-4400 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

The analyst of potassium nitrate of Business Association believes that the recent nitric acid market has been narrowly consolidated and spot trading is not hot. It is expected that the demand for potassium nitrate will hardly improve in the short term, and the market may continue to consolidate.

On June 12, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 107.35, which was the same as yesterday. It was 23.56% lower than the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and 100.32% higher than the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid rose on the 13th. Up to now, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 11880 yuan/ton, and the domestic start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect the shortage of spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the field. Recently, the market situation of goods in the field has improved. Due to the higher raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers raised the ex-factory price, and the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is on the rise. Rise. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11500-12000 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11500-12500 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand did not change very much, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market rose.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price has not changed much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the shortage of supply, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market has risen.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is tight, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may continue to rise.

Trade Name: Phenol

East China Market (June 12): 7400 yuan/ton

Main points of analysis: crude oil fell, cost was low, market psychology was under pressure, domestic phenol market weakness was not adjusted, further decline. The market quotations of each district continue to bottom out. The downstream terminal enterprises are not very interested in buying. They just need to follow up. Holders are not lack of pressure when they move goods. The gravity of some low-frequency image pressure shows a downward trend, and it is difficult for them to release volume. Business associations expect the domestic phenol Market to continue its downward trend, and the market may continue to bottom out. The market price of phenol in East China refers to 7400-7450 yuan/ton.

On June 10, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 107.35, unchanged from yesterday, down 23.56% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 100.32% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid rose on the 11th. Up to now, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 1,1830 yuan/ton, and the domestic start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on the spot is tight at present. Recently, the market situation of hydrofluoric acid has improved. Due to the higher raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers have raised the ex-factory price, and the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is on the rise. Rise. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11500-12000 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11500-12000 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand did not change very much, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market rose.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price has not changed much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the shortage of supply, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market has risen.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is tight, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may continue to rise.

Price Trend

According to a large number of data monitored by business associations, the price of trichloromethane in China has been running steadily this week, and the average price of trichloromethane in Shandong has remained around 2930 yuan/ton.

II. Cause Analysis

Product Reasons: This week, the domestic trichloromethane market has been running steadily, the supply side and demand side are weak, and the overall supply and demand balance in the industry. At present, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong is about 2980 yuan/ton; that in Jiangsu is about 4000 yuan/ton; and that in Jiangxi is about 3600 yuan/ton. In terms of start-up, about 50% of the Jinling chemical plant was started; Jinmao in Dongying was scheduled to be overhauled until the end of June; 60% of the chemical plant in Luxi was started; the science and culture plant in Jiangsu was started normally; and the science and culture plant in Jiangxi was running normally.

Industry chain: On the upstream side, the domestic methanol market declined weakly this week. At the beginning of the week, the average price of the domestic methanol market was 2228 yuan/ton, with a drop of 3.05% in the weekend and 20.64% in the same period last year. The supply of liquid chlorine market was tight, the downstream market demand was weak, and the overall performance of the industry was stable, with enterprises reporting an overrun of 400-700 yuan/ton. On the downstream side, domestic R22 refrigerant prices remained stable this week, and the market trading environment was relatively general. Now the company quotes 18500-19000 yuan per ton for bulk water.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, in the 22nd week of 2019 (6.3-6.7), there were 16 kinds of commodities rising annually in the chemical sector, of which more than 5% of the commodities rose, accounting for 1.2% of the monitored commodities in the sector; the first three commodities were epichlorohydrin (14.56%), dichloromethane (2.65%) and sulfuric acid (2.47%). There are 33 kinds of commodities with a decline of more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the monitored commodities in the plate. The products with the first three declines are organosilicon DMC (-7.21%), light soda (-4.31%) and phosphate rock (-3.65%).

3. Future Market Forecast

Business community methane chloride data analysts believe that there is still a big gap in the supply side of the trichloromethane market, but the downstream market demand is not good, the trading atmosphere is flat, and the trichloromethane market is expected to operate steadily in the near future.