1、 Price trend
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According to the business news agency’s block data list, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid on April 20 was 5250 yuan / ton, up 0.64% from last Tuesday, 1.29% from the beginning of the month, and 5.7% from the same period last year.
2、 Market analysis
Recently, the price of raw material yellow phosphorus continued to rise due to the tight spot and the opening of downstream stock preparation before the festival, which led to the steady rise of the phosphoric acid market. The phosphoric acid enterprises did not adjust the price much. They adjusted the price slightly by 50-100 yuan / ton, carefully watching the market reaction. At present, although the support of cost side is getting stronger, the follow-up of phosphoric acid demand side is general, the inquiry enthusiasm is not high, and the purchasing just needs to be maintained. Both the buyer and the seller are in a wait-and-see state, and the trading atmosphere is not warm. At present, some phosphoric acid enterprises still hold the early quotation shipping, but the rising mentality appears, and the future market is expected to rise with the cost fluctuation. According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of April 20, the quotation in Sichuan is 4900-5550 yuan / ton, that in Yunnan is 5200 yuan / ton, that in Beijing is 4800 yuan / ton, that in Hubei is 5200-5500 yuan / ton, that in Tianjin is 5900 yuan / ton, that in Hebei is 5500 yuan / ton, and that in Guangxi is 5200-5320 yuan / ton. The prices in various regions are stable rise.
Regional ﹣ product specification ﹣ date ﹣ price (yuan / ton)
Sichuan Province: 85% industrial grade – 4900-5550
Hubei Province: 85% industrial grade – 5200-5500
Yunnan Province: 85% industrial grade – 5000-5200
The content of ﹣ phosphoric acid in Guangxi: 85% industrial grade ﹣ 5200-5320
In Beijing and Tianjin, the content of ﹣ 4 ﹣ is 85% industrial grade ﹣ 4800-5900 on April 20
In terms of raw materials, on April 19, the reference price of phosphate rock was 480.00, up 7.46% compared with April 1 (446.67) After the price rise, the domestic phosphorus ore market maintains a high and stable operation. Before May Day, traders of downstream Yellow Phosphorus and other products are likely to stock before May Day, so the downstream purchasing volume will increase. Therefore, the spot supply of phosphorus ore market is smooth, and the inquiry atmosphere will continue to be good in the short term. Therefore, the phosphorus ore analysts of the business community believe that the phosphorus ore market can continue to be stable in the short term The system is running on schedule.
On April 20, the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 17500.00, up 3.55% compared with April 1 (16900.00). Affected by environmental factors, Yunnan’s large factories stopped, the spot of yellow phosphorus was tight, in addition, the downstream stock was prepared before the festival, the price in the yard rose, and the transaction price of new orders was higher. It is expected that the price of yellow phosphorus will rise steadily in the short term.
On April 20, the reference price of the downstream map was 2533.33, down by 1.3% compared with April 1 (2566.67). At present, the raw material cost of map is high, and the downstream demand is limited. It is expected that map will maintain stable operation in the short term.
On April 20, the reference price of DAP in the downstream was 3125.00, which was 0.79% lower than that on April 1 (3150.00). DAP is mainly exported, and domestic spring farming is coming to an end. At present, supply and demand are in balance. Diammonium phosphate is expected to be adjusted in a narrow range in the short term.
3、 Future forecast
According to the phosphoric acid analysts of the chemical branch of business society, the raw material side rose before the festival, and the supporting force gradually strengthened. The phosphoric acid market rose steadily. Some enterprises have made a tentative rise, and it is expected that there will still be a rise in the short term, but the terminal demand generally followed up, and the upward range is not large.
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