1. Trade name: silicon metal (441 × 3)

2. Latest price (January 15, 2020): 11858.33 yuan / ton

The price of 441 × silicon in each region is as follows:

The price range of metal silicon in Fujian is 11300-11400 yuan / ton, in Sichuan is 11600-11700 yuan / ton, in Kunming is 11600-11700 yuan / ton, in Shanghai is 12400-12600 yuan / ton, in Tianjin port is 11900-12100 yuan / ton, in Huangpu port is 11900-12100 yuan / ton 。

3. Analysis points:

Production end: since January, the operation rate of manufacturers in Southwest China (Yunnan, Sichuan, Guizhou) has continued to be low in the early stage. It is reported that the operating rates in Sichuan and Yunnan have declined to around 20%, and most of the open furnace plants produce chemical grade silicon, and the inventory of the closed silicon plants has declined significantly, while in Fujian and Guizhou, due to the factor of electricity price, there are not many starts.

 
At present, social inventory has declined significantly. On the one hand, based on the factory operating rate, on the other hand, due to the consumer end, domestic trade and foreign trade are in stock before.

Consumer end: Recently, domestic aluminum alloy and polysilicon enterprises prepared goods years ago, and bidding for some silicone plants has been carried out in succession. Orders for low-grade silicon are surging in silicon production plants, while high-grade silicon is released due to quarterly bidding orders from large foreign factories.

Social inventory continued to move down, market expectations rose, producers’ willingness to hold prices strengthened, and commodity traders’ psychological prices increased.

4. Future forecast: close to the Spring Festival, coupled with tight freight, it is expected that the short-term stable and strong operation of silicon metal will prevail.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the market price of domestic chlorinated paraffin fell slightly this week. On January 6, the average ex factory price of 52 domestic first-class chlorinated paraffin products was 5033 yuan / ton, and on January 12, the average ex factory price was 4933 yuan / ton, with a price drop of 1.99%. Up to now, the commodity index of chlorinated paraffin on January 13 is 73.45, which is the same as yesterday, 32.88% lower than the highest point of 109.43 (2013-12-03), and 15.04% higher than the lowest point of 63.85 on September 26, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-06-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Products: at present, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4600-5400 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 5300 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Central China is 4700-5500 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4700-5400 yuan / ton 。 The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is about 4800-5500 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: the overall transaction atmosphere of the current market is general, and the demand is weak. The price of wax in upstream raw material liquid remained stable, and the market price of liquid chlorine was slightly reduced. Raw material market is low.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the first week of 2020 (1.6-1.10), there are 27 kinds of commodities rising month by month in the list of commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, among which there are 3 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 3.5% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 commodities are bisphenol A (9.65%), glycol (7.92%), ammonium chloride (5.09%). There are 18 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and 1 kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are caustic soda (- 5.22%), chloroform (- 4.55%), sodium metabisulfite (- 3.79%). This week’s average was 0.35%.

3、 Future forecast

Analysts of chlorinated paraffin in business association believe that due to poor raw material market, falling price, cost reduction of chlorinated paraffin and weak terminal demand. It is expected that the weak finishing of chlorinated paraffin in the later stage will be the main one.

1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the comprehensive price of hydrochloric acid in North China this week was temporarily stable, with an offer of 243.33 yuan / ton, up 62.22% year-on-year. Overall, this week’s hydrochloric acid market is temporarily stable, January 10 hydrochloric acid commodity index is 64.03.

2、 Market analysis

（1） Products:

This week, the quotation of hydrochloric acid market manufacturers is temporarily stable, and the overall market is average. The quotation of Dezhou Shihua hydrochloric acid is 300 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable; the weekend quotation of Wenshui synthetic hydrochloric acid is 210 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; the weekend quotation of Jinan Yuanfei hydrochloric acid is 450 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; the weekend quotation of Dezhou Meihua hydrochloric acid is 70 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week.

（2） Industrial chain:

The upstream liquid chlorine market is generally weak in support of hydrochloric acid, while the downstream dyes, calcium chloride and chloroethane are still mainly purchased according to early demand. Hydrochloric acid market as a whole seems to be declining, and by-product acid is still hitting the market. The pressure of hydrochloric acid delivery is relatively high, and the quality of by-product hydrochloric acid produced by TDI, chloropropene, propylene oxide and methane chloride is relatively good. On the whole, the difficulty of hydrochloric acid delivery is still a big problem.

3、 Future forecast

After the adjustment in December, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. Business analysts believe that: upstream liquid chlorine Market in the near future is general, downstream rare earth, fuel demand is weak. Business analysts believe that the recent low consolidation of hydrochloric acid.

1、 Price trend

According to the data of the business club’s bulk list, the domestic dry process aluminum fluoride market price remained stable this week, with the average market price at the beginning of the week of 9033 yuan / ton and at the end of the week of 8900 yuan / ton, down 1.48% from last week.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the price of aluminum fluoride is stable: the factory price of aluminum fluoride of Zhengzhou Tianrui Grain Technology Co., Ltd. is 8500 yuan / ton, that of Shandong LUZHENG Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9600 yuan / ton, and that of Zhengzhou Zerun Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. is 8700 yuan / ton.

Market analysis: the price trend of hydrofluoric acid this week is temporarily stable. In the near future, the on-site manufacturers are generally on the way. The operating rate of the downstream refrigerant industry remains at a low level. The demand for domestic hydrofluoric acid market is limited. In addition, the domestic hydrofluoric acid plant maintains a high operating rate, and the domestic spot supply is sufficient. However, in the near future, the price of fluorite remains high, and the domestic price trend is temporarily stable. By the end of the week, the southern China had a stable price trend The mainstream of regional hydrofluoric acid negotiation is 10000-11000 yuan / ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 10000-10500 yuan / ton. This week, the price of aluminum fluoride rose and fell. Zhengzhou tianruijing lowered the price by 500 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

According to the aluminum fluoride industry analyst of business and chemical branch, the price of hydrofluoric acid will remain stable in the near years, and the pressure on the price of hydrofluoric acid will be relatively large in the near future. The price of downstream aluminum fluoride market has not yet increased, and it is expected that the price of aluminum fluoride market will continue to maintain stability in a short period of time.

1、 Price trend of lithium hydroxide:

The average price of lithium hydroxide as of January 9 was 57666.67 yuan / ton, the same as that of yesterday, according to the data in the bulk list of business agencies. In a three-month cycle, it fell 18.40% year-on-year. On January 8, the lithium hydroxide commodity index was 137.30, which was the same as that on July 7, 64.01% lower than the highest point of 381.48 (2016-09-12), and 37.30% higher than the lowest point of 100.00 on September 4, 2014. (Note: cycle refers to 2014-09-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis:

Product: on January 9, the market of lithium hydroxide kept stable. At present, the external quotation of industrial grade lithium hydroxide of Shanghai Yulun Industrial Co., Ltd. is 58000 yuan / ton, the external quotation of industrial grade lithium hydroxide of Shanghai Eugene Industrial Co., Ltd. is 60000 yuan / ton, and the external quotation of industrial grade lithium hydroxide of Zigong tongfarong Industrial Co., Ltd. is 55000 yuan / ton. The specific price will be discussed in a single way.

Industry chain: Recently, the upstream lithium carbonate market is in a weak consolidation operation. The price of industrial grade lithium carbonate (1.1-1.8) fell by 2.70%, while the price of battery grade lithium carbonate (1.1-1.8) fell by 0.78%. On January 8, the lithium carbonate commodity index was 110.06, the same as on July 7, down 72.83% from 405.10 (2018-01-07), the highest point in the cycle, and up 11.69% from 98.54, the lowest point on October 16, 2014. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now) it is reported that the inventory of lithium salt manufacturers in the domestic market has declined, but the overall market supply is still relatively surplus. In the lower reaches of lithium carbonate, small orders are mainly purchased, and the demanders are willing to press the price strongly, and the market transaction is weak. Near the end of the year, in order to reduce the inventory level and collect funds, some lithium carbonate enterprises have strong willingness to ship goods actively. At present, the market lacks strong support of favorable factors, and the downstream wait-and-see atmosphere is strong.

3、 Future forecast:

According to the lithium hydroxide analyst of business club, the upstream lithium carbonate market is weak in operation, and the cost support is also weak. The current operating rate of lithium hydroxide is low, and the firm price mentality is obvious. The downstream is mainly stocked in small quantities, and the trading atmosphere is light. It is expected that the lithium hydroxide Market will be stable in the short term.